Elementis PLC (ELM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Elementis PLC £1.48, price £1.77, upside -16.2%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.8289 – £1.87 · fair‑value band £1.14 – £2.06 · the £1.77 price screens above the £1.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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Elementis plc operates as a specialty chemical company in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Coatings and Personal Care. The Coatings segment offers production of rheological modifiers and additives for decorative and industrial coatings; and performance chemicals for the energy sector.
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Elementis plc operates as a specialty chemical company in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Coatings and Personal Care. The Coatings segment offers production of rheological modifiers and additives for decorative and industrial coatings; and performance chemicals for the energy sector. This segment provides products for applications in architectural and industrial coatings, adhesives, and sealants and construction additives. The Personal Care segment offers rheological modifiers and compounded products, including active ingredients for antiperspirants (AP) deodorants for personal care manufacturers. This segment offers products for applications in antiperspirants, skin care, and color cosmetics. Elementis plc was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Elementis PLC (ELM) currently trades at £1.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.48, 16.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £1.66 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the £1.77 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.2900, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: £1.14 (bear) to £2.06 (bull), the price of £1.77 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Elementis PLC reported revenue of $610M in FY2025 versus $709M in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$46.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.0B GBX · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 1.62 · EPS (TTM) £0.0900 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin −7.6% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −16%, ELM screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £1.14Fair Value £1.48Bull £2.06
Price £1.77 · Upside -16.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0432 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.8% (2020) → 17.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.5% a year for the price and +0.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 713 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−16.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.7% · Above median
Return on assets7.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)22.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elementis PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELM
Frequently asked questions
Is Elementis PLC (ELM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.48 versus a price of £1.77, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELM?
Our model-based fair value for Elementis PLC is £1.48 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £1.77.
What is the quality score of ELM?
Elementis PLC has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Elementis PLC (ELM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.48 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario £1.14, optimistic scenario £2.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Elementis PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.48, about −16% upside versus a price of £1.77 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £1.14, optimistic scenario £2.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
Elementis PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £625M (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Elementis PLC pay a dividend?
Elementis PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.89% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Elementis PLC (ELM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Elementis PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +16.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.1 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ELM use?
Our models discount Elementis PLC at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Elementis PLC that is +16.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Elementis PLC (ELM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Elementis PLC grew -4.1 % a year. The price currently implies +16.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Elementis PLC (ELM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Elementis PLC (+16.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.28 %: that much free cash flow Elementis PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Elementis PLC it is £1.48 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of £1.77. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Elementis PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, ELM trades above its calculated fair value: price £1.77, fair value £1.48, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ELM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£1.77); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.48). For Elementis PLC the two are £0.2860 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Elementis PLC worth?
The market values Elementis PLC at about 1.0B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is £1.77; our models calculate a fair value of £1.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ELM?
Our models span a range for Elementis PLC: cautious scenario £1.14, base £1.48, optimistic £2.06 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price £1.77). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ELM?
Elementis PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.0, P/B 2.1, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
What is the PEG ratio of ELM?
The PEG ratio of Elementis PLC is 0.02 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 1, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Elementis PLC (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ELM from its 52-week high?
Elementis PLC trades at £1.77, about 6% below its 52-week high of £1.87 and 25% above the low of £1.41 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Elementis PLC?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Elementis PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price £1.77, calculated fair value £1.48 (−16%), Quality Score 62/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ELM calculated?
We run Elementis PLC through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £1.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Elementis PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was £1.77. Our model-based fair value is £1.48, about −16% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Elementis PLC right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (£1.14 to £2.06) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Elementis PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The market capitalisation of Elementis PLC is 1.0B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Elementis PLC is 1.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
Earnings per share at Elementis PLC are £0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The dividend yield of Elementis PLC is 1.9% (payout 37.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The net margin of Elementis PLC is −7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Elementis PLC is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Elementis PLC is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Elementis PLC (ELM)?
The operating margin of Elementis PLC is 22.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Elementis PLC (ELM)?
Revenue at Elementis PLC is growing +9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Elementis PLC (ELM)?
Earnings per share at Elementis PLC are growing +31.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Elementis PLC (ELM) carry?
The net debt of Elementis PLC is 202M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Oct 1, 2026