Energy One Limited (EOL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$359M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$3.74 to A$3.71 (−0.8%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +16.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$4.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$2.79 – A$19.83 · fair‑value band A$2.78 – A$4.64 · the A$14.18 price screens above the A$3.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Energy One Limited (EOL) currently trades at A$14.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.71, implying the stock looks roughly 73.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Energy One Limited generated revenue of A$67.0M at a net margin of 11.1%. Revenue grew 20.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at A$9.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$2.78 (bear case) to A$4.64 (bull case); at A$14.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -74%, EOL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$7.44) versus Asset-Based (A$1.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Energy One Limited engages in the provision of software products, outsourced operations, and advisory services to wholesale energy, environmental, and carbon trading markets in the Australasia, and Europe.
Full company description
Energy One Limited engages in the provision of software products, outsourced operations, and advisory services to wholesale energy, environmental, and carbon trading markets in the Australasia, and Europe. It offers egssPort Gas, a SaaS solution for gas shippers that handles natural gas and LNG operations; EnergyOffer, a bidding, offering, dispatch, and logistics solution; enFlow, a tool for automating and managing business processes, and for integrating systems; and enPrice, a scalable commodity retail pricing solution. The company also provides enTrader, an ETRM solution for energy markets; enVoy, a communications tool that provides an automated system for sending and receiving energy industry data; EOT that offers front, middle, and backoffice solutions; and eZ-Ops, an energy trading platform that focuses on automating physical gas, power logistics, and short-term portfolio. In addition, it offers NemSight, a Windows-based platform that displays information, including live prices, demand, constraints, generation, bidstacks and temperatures for the Australian electricity, gas and renewables markets; pypIT, a gas pipeline contracts management and scheduling platform; and SimEnergy, an energy trading and risk management (ETRM) solution that offers deal capture, settlements, and risk capability for traders, large customers, retailers, and generators. Further, the company provides power plant management system that manages daily market communication, intraday and day-ahead trading, and nominations for a power plant; energy advisory services; demand and weather linked risk management solutions; generation services; outsourced operations services; plat outage insurance; and managed services. Energy One Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Energy One Limited reported revenue of A$61.1M in FY2025 versus A$27.6M in FY2021, a compound +21.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.9M in FY2025, compounding +12.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +32.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EOL screens 74% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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