Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Epsium Enterprise Limited $0.84, price $1.43, upside -41.3%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range $1.06 – $138.00 · fair‑value band $0.5500 – $1.04 · the $1.43 price screens above the $0.8400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Epsium Enterprise Limited engages in the trading and wholesale of alcoholic beverages in China, France, Chile, Australia, the United States, and Scotland. It primarily offers wines and spirits, including chinese liquor, french cognac, scottish whiskey, fine wine, champagne, and other.
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Epsium Enterprise Limited engages in the trading and wholesale of alcoholic beverages in China, France, Chile, Australia, the United States, and Scotland. It primarily offers wines and spirits, including chinese liquor, french cognac, scottish whiskey, fine wine, champagne, and other. The company offers its products under the Moutai, Xijiu, Wuliangye, Remy Martin Cognac, Macallan, Cointreau, Piper Heidsieck Champagne, Red and White Wines, and French Fine Wines, including Petrus, Lafite, Latour, Mouton, Margaux, and Lynch Bages brands. It distributes its products through chain supermarkets, stores, clubs, restaurants, food courts, bars, hotels, and gaming companies. The company was formerly known as Shengtao Investment Development Limited and changed its name to Epsium Enterprise Limited in April 2021. Epsium Enterprise Limited was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Macau, China.
Stock analysis
Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares (EPSM) currently trades at $1.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 70.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.5500 (bear) to $1.04 (bull), the price of $1.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $5.1M in FY2025 versus $18.2M in FY2021, a compound −27.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $19.2M · P/S ratio 3.51 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1100 · Net margin −29.3% · Return on equity −15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.7% · Operating margin −38.8% · Revenue (TTM) $5.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 96% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at −41%, EPSM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5500Fair Value $0.8400Bull $1.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−59.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.5% (2020) → −26.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · 98 stocks
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Is Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8400 versus a price of $1.43, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EPSM?
Our model-based fair value for Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is $0.8400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.43.
What is the quality score of EPSM?
Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5500, optimistic scenario $1.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8400, about −41% upside versus a price of $1.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5500, optimistic scenario $1.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares it is $0.8400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.43. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EPSM trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.43, fair value $0.8400, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EPSM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8400). For Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares the two are $0.5900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares at about $19.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.43; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EPSM?
Our models span a range for Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.5500, base $0.8400, optimistic $1.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −15.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EPSM from its 52-week high?
Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares trades at $1.43, about 96% below its 52-week high of $37.63 and 35% above the low of $1.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.43, calculated fair value $0.8400 (−41%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EPSM calculated?
We run Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.43. Our model-based fair value is $0.8400, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.5500 to $1.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
The market capitalisation of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is $19.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is 3.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
Earnings per share at Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares are $−0.1100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
The net margin of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is −29.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is −15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is 14.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
The operating margin of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is −38.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM)?
Revenue at Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is growing −61.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM) generate?
The free cash flow of Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares is −$2.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Epsium Enterprise Limited (EPSM) hold?
Epsium Enterprise Limited Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $1.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026