Etga Group Ltd (ETGA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Etga Group Ltd ILS 18.34, price ILS 21.48, upside -14.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7.45 ILA – 28.08 ILA · fair‑value band 11.20 ILA – 27.16 ILA · the 21.48 ILA price screens above the 18.34 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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ETGA Group Ltd engages in the logistics and financing activities in Israel. The company operates in two segments, Logistics and Non-Bank Financing. It offers logistics supply chain solution, such as customs brokerage services, goods and cargo insurance, couriers, special and complex projects, and other complementary services.
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ETGA Group Ltd engages in the logistics and financing activities in Israel. The company operates in two segments, Logistics and Non-Bank Financing. It offers logistics supply chain solution, such as customs brokerage services, goods and cargo insurance, couriers, special and complex projects, and other complementary services. The company also offers credit solutions to importers, industrialists, real estate companies, and entrepreneurs, as well as financing for import and commercial credit activities, real estate and related fields, and shipping costs, tax payments, etc.; and provide a credit line to sub-financiers. ETGA Group Ltd was founded in 1989 and is based in Holon, Israel.
Stock analysis
Etga Group Ltd (ETGA) currently trades at 21.48 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.34 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 17.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 58.60 ILA per share, and 12 of the 17 models we run sit above the 21.48 ILA price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7.33 ILA, and 5 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 11.20 ILA (bear) to 27.16 ILA (bull), the price of 21.48 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Etga Group Ltd reported revenue of 625M ILS in FY2025 versus 515M ILS in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was 37.2M ILS in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 476M ILA · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) 1.73 ILA · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 15.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −15%, ETGA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 11.20 ILAFair Value 18.34 ILABull 27.16 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0426 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+32.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 8%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Etga Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ETGA
Frequently asked questions
Is Etga Group Ltd (ETGA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.34 ILA versus a price of 21.48 ILA, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ETGA?
Our model-based fair value for Etga Group Ltd is 18.34 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21.48 ILA.
What is the quality score of ETGA?
Etga Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.34 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.20 ILA, optimistic scenario 27.16 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Etga Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.34 ILA, about −15% upside versus a price of 21.48 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.20 ILA, optimistic scenario 27.16 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
Etga Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 680M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Etga Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Etga Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Etga Group Ltd it is 18.34 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 21.48 ILA. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Etga Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ETGA trades above its calculated fair value: price 21.48 ILA, fair value 18.34 ILA, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ETGA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (21.48 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.34 ILA). For Etga Group Ltd the two are 3.14 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Etga Group Ltd worth?
The market values Etga Group Ltd at about 476M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 21.48 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 18.34 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ETGA?
Our models span a range for Etga Group Ltd: cautious scenario 11.20 ILA, base 18.34 ILA, optimistic 27.16 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 21.48 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ETGA?
Etga Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.34 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 1.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Etga Group Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ETGA from its 52-week high?
Etga Group Ltd trades at 21.48 ILA, about 24% below its 52-week high of 28.08 ILA and 10% above the low of 19.54 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.34 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Etga Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Etga Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 21.48 ILA, calculated fair value 18.34 ILA (−15%), Quality Score 43/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ETGA calculated?
We run Etga Group Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.34 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Etga Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 21.48 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 18.34 ILA, about −15% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Etga Group Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (11.20 ILA to 27.16 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Etga Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
The market capitalisation of Etga Group Ltd is 476M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Etga Group Ltd is 0.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
Earnings per share at Etga Group Ltd are 1.73 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
The dividend yield of Etga Group Ltd is 7.8% (payout 96.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
The net margin of Etga Group Ltd is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Etga Group Ltd is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Etga Group Ltd is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
The operating margin of Etga Group Ltd is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
Revenue at Etga Group Ltd is growing +33.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Etga Group Ltd (ETGA)?
Earnings per share at Etga Group Ltd are growing +11.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Etga Group Ltd (ETGA) generate?
The free cash flow of Etga Group Ltd is −19.8M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Etga Group Ltd (ETGA) carry?
The net debt of Etga Group Ltd is 416M ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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