ETILR Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 1.4B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −3.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.86 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (1.54 TRY to 2.86 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.8704 TRY – 9.31 TRY · fair‑value band 1.54 TRY – 2.86 TRY · the 5.69 TRY price screens above the 2.20 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
ETILR (ETILR) currently trades at 5.69 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.20 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 61.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, ETILR generated revenue of 1.8B TRY at a net margin of -1.0%. Revenue declined 27.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. Net debt stands at 350M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.54 TRY (bear case) to 2.86 TRY (bull case); at 5.69 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -61%, ETILR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (2.14 TRY) versus Multiples (0.9500 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Etiler Gida Ve Ticari Yatirimlar Sanayi Ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates restaurants, patisseries, tea gardens, cafeterias, coffee houses, and buffets in Turkey. It offers kebabs, wraps, doners, versions, portions, snacks, wraps, burgers, toasts, cold and hot sandwiches, breakfast, cold drinks, freshly squeezed fruit juices, desserts, and salads.
Full company description
Etiler Gida Ve Ticari Yatirimlar Sanayi Ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates restaurants, patisseries, tea gardens, cafeterias, coffee houses, and buffets in Turkey. It offers kebabs, wraps, doners, versions, portions, snacks, wraps, burgers, toasts, cold and hot sandwiches, breakfast, cold drinks, freshly squeezed fruit juices, desserts, and salads. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ETILR reported revenue of 2.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 29.2M TRY in FY2021, a compound +192.0%/yr. Reported net income was 11.4M TRY in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.
ETILR screens 61% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 228 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
Compare ETILR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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