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Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS TRY 2.20, price TRY 5.90, upside -62.7%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · TR · ISIN TREEIBG00017

Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS

ETILR · IS

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 2.20 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−63%)
!Quality 25/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +288.7 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -1.0% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 0.5%
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

9.31 TRY 0.8704 TRY Fair Value 2.20 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.8704 TRY – 9.31 TRY · fair‑value band 1.54 TRY – 2.86 TRY · the 5.90 TRY price screens above the 2.20 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Etiler Gida Ve Ticari Yatirimlar Sanayi Ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates restaurants, patisseries, tea gardens, cafeterias, coffee houses, and buffets in Turkey. It offers kebabs, wraps, doners, versions, portions, snacks, wraps, burgers, toasts, cold and hot sandwiches, breakfast, cold drinks, freshly squeezed fruit juices, desserts, and salads.

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Etiler Gida Ve Ticari Yatirimlar Sanayi Ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi operates restaurants, patisseries, tea gardens, cafeterias, coffee houses, and buffets in Turkey. It offers kebabs, wraps, doners, versions, portions, snacks, wraps, burgers, toasts, cold and hot sandwiches, breakfast, cold drinks, freshly squeezed fruit juices, desserts, and salads. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR) currently trades at 5.90 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.20 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 168.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2.20 TRY per share, and 5 of the 14 models we run sit above the 5.90 TRY price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 1.04 TRY, and 9 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.54 TRY (bear) to 2.86 TRY (bull), the price of 5.90 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS reported revenue of 2.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 29.2M TRY in FY2021, a compound +192.0%/yr. Reported net income was 11.4M TRY in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.4B TRY (≈ $29.0M) · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) −0.0700 TRY · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity −4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7% · Operating margin −0.9% · Revenue (TTM) 1.8B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −63%, ETILR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.54 TRY Fair Value 2.20 TRY Bull 2.86 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 8.54 TRY 9.62 TRY 10.53 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 10.02 TRY 13.33 TRY 17.13 TRY 70
Residual Income 1.43 TRY 1.33 TRY 0.9800 TRY 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.3200 TRY 2.25 TRY 3.16 TRY 61
Lynch FV 1.16 TRY 1.66 TRY 2.16 TRY 59
PEG = 1.0 1.16 TRY 1.66 TRY 2.16 TRY 55
EPV 8.54 TRY 9.62 TRY 10.53 TRY 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.7800 TRY 1.04 TRY 1.30 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 0.6000 TRY 0.8100 TRY 1.01 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 0.6000 TRY 0.8100 TRY 1.01 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 15.50 TRY 20.47 TRY 25.44 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 11.21 TRY 14.76 TRY 18.30 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 8.02 TRY 11.21 TRY 14.39 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.08 TRY 1.44 TRY 2.15 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.43 TRY 1.33 TRY 0.9800 TRY 68
ROIC Compounder 10.02 TRY 13.33 TRY 17.13 TRY 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1.54 TRY 2.20 TRY 2.86 TRY 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+47.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+141.8%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+288.7%
Revenue growth 15 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−30.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 13%

ETILR screens 168% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 221 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −27% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $252.78 $149.03 −41%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $96.58 $35.83 −63%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $33.68 $37.05 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $137.96 $58.17 −58%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$106.75 C$100.88 −5%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $208.08 $173.68 −17%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $41.36 $49.95 +21%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $170.07 $128.38 −25%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $41.37 $12.80 −69%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $301.30 $227.31 −25%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ETILR

Frequently asked questions

Is Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.20 TRY versus a price of 5.90 TRY, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ETILR?
Our model-based fair value for Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is 2.20 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.90 TRY.
What is the quality score of ETILR?
Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.20 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.54 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.86 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.20 TRY, about −63% upside versus a price of 5.90 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.54 TRY, optimistic scenario 2.86 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS it is 2.20 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 5.90 TRY. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, ETILR trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.90 TRY, fair value 2.20 TRY, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ETILR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.90 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.20 TRY). For Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS the two are 3.70 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS worth?
The market values Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS at about 1.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 5.90 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2.20 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ETILR?
Our models span a range for Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS: cautious scenario 1.54 TRY, base 2.20 TRY, optimistic 2.86 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 5.90 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −4.3%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ETILR from its 52-week high?
Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS trades at 5.90 TRY, about 15% below its 52-week high of 6.91 TRY and 75% above the low of 3.37 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.20 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 5.90 TRY, calculated fair value 2.20 TRY (−63%), Quality Score 25/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ETILR calculated?
We run Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.20 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 5.90 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 2.20 TRY, about −63% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.86 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.54 TRY to 2.86 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
The market capitalisation of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is 1.4B TRY (≈ $29.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is 0.76 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
Earnings per share at Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS are −0.0700 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
The net margin of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is −4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is 10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
The operating margin of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is −0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
Revenue at Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is growing −27.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +142%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR)?
Earnings per share at Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS are growing −80.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR) generate?
The free cash flow of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is −203M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS (ETILR) carry?
The net debt of Etiler İnci Bufe Gida Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret AS is 350M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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