easyJet plc (EZJ) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 5.1B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from £13.88 to £11.36 (−18.2%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +0.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 69% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£8.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £2.68 – £7.99 · fair‑value band £8.25 – £14.19 · the £6.72 price screens below the £11.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
easyJet plc (EZJ) currently trades at £6.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £11.36, implying the stock looks roughly 69.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, easyJet plc generated revenue of £10.5B at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue grew 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at £1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £8.25 (bear case) to £14.19 (bull case); at £6.72, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 40% fair-value upside, at 69%, EZJ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£20.47) versus Dividend Discount (£1.84). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
easyJet plc operates as a low-cost airline carrier in Europe. The company engages in the development of building projects; financing and insurance business; and tour operator activities, as well as provides holiday packages. It also offers heavy base maintenance and air transport services.
Full company description
easyJet plc operates as a low-cost airline carrier in Europe. The company engages in the development of building projects; financing and insurance business; and tour operator activities, as well as provides holiday packages. It also offers heavy base maintenance and air transport services. easyJet plc was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Luton, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
easyJet plc reported revenue of £10.1B in FY2025 versus £1.5B in FY2021, a compound +62.3%/yr. Reported net income was £494M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +7.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Airlines · 59 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Airlines median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $84.17 | $118.24 | +40% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | $120.97 | $175.62 | +45% |
| Ryanair Holdings RYA | €25.47 | €41.26 | +62% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $47.56 | $14.76 | -69% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,249 | ₹3,704 | -29% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 7.60 SGD | 7.89 SGD | +4% |
| Air China Limited 601111 | ¥5.97 | ¥7.16 | +20% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $54.87 | $106.79 | +95% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA | €8.57 | €15.42 | +80% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥4.99 | ¥1.28 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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