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COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD (F83) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SG · Market cap 506M SGD

CS COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD F83 · SG
Price0.1170 SGD
Fair Value0.0255 SGD
Upside-78.2%
Quality39/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.88% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: High Range 0.0170 SGD – 0.0340 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +3.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0340 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.0170 SGD to 0.0340 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.3164 SGD 0.1088 SGD Fair Value 0.0255 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1088 SGD – 0.3164 SGD · fair‑value band 0.0170 SGD – 0.0340 SGD · the 0.1170 SGD price screens above the 0.0255 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD (F83) currently trades at 0.1170 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0255 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 78.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD generated revenue of 194M SGD at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. Net debt stands at 114M SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0170 SGD (bear case) to 0.0340 SGD (bull case); at 0.1170 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at -78%, F83 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1100 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.1500 SGD 80
Residual Income 0.1100 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.0700 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0800 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1100 SGD 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1000 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.1500 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 0.1300 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0800 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1100 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.1300 SGD 0.1700 SGD 0.2200 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.0800 SGD 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0900 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1200 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.1200 SGD 0.1500 SGD 0.1900 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.0900 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1100 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0100 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0300 SGD 54
PEG = 1.0 — 0.0100 SGD 0.0100 SGD 46
EPV 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0300 SGD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 0.0500 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 0.0800 SGD 0.0900 SGD 0.1100 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 0.1600 SGD 0.2000 SGD 0.2300 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.0700 SGD 0.0800 SGD 0.0900 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0900 SGD 0.1200 SGD 0.1700 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1100 SGD 0.1300 SGD 0.1500 SGD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0800 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.1100 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.1100 SGD 0.1000 SGD 0.0700 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 0.0600 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0200 SGD 0.0300 SGD 0.0400 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.1200 SGD) versus Earnings-Based (0.0300 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 194M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.7%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 1.4%
Free cash flow 33.2M SGD FY2025
Operating margin 5.7%
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -43.5%
Net debt 114M SGD FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, provides integrated logistics services in South and Southeast Asia. It operates through Shipping, Ship Repair and Marine Engineering Activities, Logistics, and Property Management segments.

Full company description

COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, provides integrated logistics services in South and Southeast Asia. It operates through Shipping, Ship Repair and Marine Engineering Activities, Logistics, and Property Management segments. The company provides warehousing solutions, including crating and packing cross-docking emergency parts distribution knitting and co-packing services labeling and tagging light manufacturing pick and pack, labeling, fulfillment, delivery purchase order management re-work receiving and inventory replenishment sorting, and segregating stock transfer. It also offers dry bulk shipping services generally for grain, iron ore, coal, steel, cement, and fertilizer, as well as provides fabrication work services and production of marine outfitting components for all types of vessels, such as oil tankers, bulk carriers, and container liners. In addition, the company provides container depots for storing and servicing general purpose containers, reefer containers, and other special equipment; and automotive logistics, including warehouse and storage, repossessed vehicle assistance, storage of used/de-registered cars for export or scrap, transportation and documentation, and stuffing/un-stuffing of vehicles into containers services. Further, it offers trucking, police escort, port clearance, freight-coordination, and dry hubbing services; and property management services. The company was formerly known as COSCO Corporation (Singapore) Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd. in April 2017. The company was incorporated in 1961 and is based in Singapore. COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of China Ocean Shipping Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD reported revenue of 194M SGD in FY2025 versus 198M SGD in FY2021, a compound −0.6%/yr. Reported net income was 7.9M SGD in FY2025, compounding −28.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
194M SGD
Latest YoY
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.4%
Revenue −0.6%/yr
FY21 198M SGD
FY22 186M SGD
FY23 179M SGD
FY24 173M SGD
FY25 194M SGD
Net income −28.3%/yr
FY21 30.1M SGD
FY22 −88.6M SGD
FY23 1.9M SGD
FY24 5.5M SGD
FY25 7.9M SGD

F83 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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0.0255 SGD −78%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/F83

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 214 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.51× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.99× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 41
FUTURE 69 · sector 8
PAST 6 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 18 · sector 63

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $103.91 $103.34 -1%
FedEx Corporation FDX $326.77 $347.68 +6%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €55.32 €53.18 -4%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,380 kr 712.57 -48%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $275.96 $133.80 -52%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥32.96 ¥48.64 +48%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$178.20 HK$224.41 +26%
Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 199,700 KRW 468,982 KRW +135%
YTO Express Group 600233 ¥18.48 ¥26.51 +43%
JD Logistics, Inc 2618 HK$14.17 HK$21.45 +51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD (F83) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0255 SGD versus a price of 0.1170 SGD, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of F83?
Our model-based fair value for COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD is 0.0255 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.1170 SGD.
What is the quality score of F83?
COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD (F83)?
COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 194M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of F83?
The net profit margin of COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD pay a dividend?
COSCO SHIPPING INTL(S) CO. LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.88% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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