Fevertree Drinks PLC (FEVR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · GB · Market cap 886M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from £4.17 to £4.21 (+1.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£5.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £5.62 – £24.20 · fair‑value band £3.16 – £5.26 · the £8.14 price screens above the £4.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Fevertree Drinks PLC (FEVR) currently trades at £8.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.21, implying the stock looks roughly 48.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Fevertree Drinks PLC generated revenue of £325M at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £87.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £3.16 (bear case) to £5.26 (bull case); at £8.14, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -48%, FEVR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£5.73) versus Asset-Based (£1.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Fevertree Drinks PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and sale of mixer drinks in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers tonics, soft drinks, non-alcoholic, sodas, gingers, ready to drink, cocktail mixers, and cola and lemonades. It sells its products under the Fever-Tree brand name.
Full company description
Fevertree Drinks PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and sale of mixer drinks in the United Kingdom, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers tonics, soft drinks, non-alcoholic, sodas, gingers, ready to drink, cocktail mixers, and cola and lemonades. It sells its products under the Fever-Tree brand name. The company was formerly known as Fevertree Topco Limited and changed its name to Fevertree Drinks PLC in October 2014. Fevertree Drinks PLC was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in London, United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fevertree Drinks PLC reported revenue of £325M in FY2025 versus £311M in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was £22.6M in FY2025, compounding −15.6%/yr from FY2021.
FEVR screens 48% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $81.56 | $39.92 | -51% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $137.38 | $106.91 | -22% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥124.43 | ¥107.57 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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