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Foodlink A.E (FOODL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Foodlink A.E €0.32, price €1.04, upside -69.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · GR

FA Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Foodlink A.E

FOODL · AT

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €0.3200 · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +12.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€1.46 €0.2526 Fair Value €0.3200 Sep 2019 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.2526 – €1.46 · fair‑value band €0.2400 – €0.4000 · the €1.04 price screens above the €0.3200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Foodlink A.E. primarily provides integrated logistics services.

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Foodlink A.E. primarily provides integrated logistics services. It offers contract logistics including cross-docking, reverse logistics, and co-packing/repackaging; international transportation services, such as road transport, air transport, shipping, and cross docking; sales logistics; e-shop logistics comprising secretarial support & goods management, file management, financial management, courier services, and computerization services; specialized courier services; and logistics intelligence services. Foodlink A.E. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Aspropyrgos, Greece.

Stock analysis

Foodlink A.E (FOODL) currently trades at €1.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 225.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €1.16 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the €1.04 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.0500, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.2400 (bear) to €0.4000 (bull), the price of €1.04 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Foodlink A.E reported revenue of €70.1M in FY2020 versus €47.6M in FY2016, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€391K in FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap €35.3M · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0170 · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity 66.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.8% · Operating margin 4.3% · Revenue (TTM) €97.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −69%, FOODL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.2400 Fair Value €0.3200 Bull €0.4000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €2.28 €3.96 €6.75 77
Growth DCF €2.26 €3.80 €6.25 76
5Y Revenue Exit €0.8800 €1.13 €1.41 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €2.28 €3.96 €6.75 77
5Y Revenue Exit €0.8800 €1.13 €1.41 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €2.11 €3.63 €5.53 73
10Y Revenue Exit €1.35 €1.74 €2.23 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €2.14 €3.52 €5.57 67
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.1600 €0.1800 €0.2000 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.2400 €0.3200 €0.4000 66
EV/EBITDA €2.20 €2.94 €3.67 67
EV/Revenue €0.1700 €0.2500 €0.3200 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0300 €0.0500 €0.0700 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €2.26 €3.80 €6.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF €0.8800 €1.16 €1.53 73
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.1700 €0.2300 €0.2900 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.4%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.8% (2014) → 0.9% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

FOODL screens 225% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 67% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.19× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 17.31× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)4 · sector 8
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $95.82 $107.84 +13%
FedEx Corporation FDX $291.50 $347.68 +19%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €56.48 €136.05 +141%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,235 kr 712.57 −42%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 228.10 CHF 147.92 −35%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $234.63 $133.80 −43%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥30.94 ¥106.04 +243%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $149.67 $86.56 −42%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $188.03 $115.95 −38%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$155.70 HK$260.98 +68%

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Foodlink A.E · Fair Value
€0.3200 −225%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Foodlink A.E Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FOODL

Frequently asked questions

Is Foodlink A.E (FOODL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.3200 versus a price of €1.04, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FOODL?
Our model-based fair value for Foodlink A.E is €0.3200 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.04.
What is the quality score of FOODL?
Foodlink A.E has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.3200 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.2400, optimistic scenario €0.4000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Foodlink A.E stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.3200, about −69% upside versus a price of €1.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.2400, optimistic scenario €0.4000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Foodlink A.E reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €97.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Foodlink A.E it is €0.3200 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.04. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Foodlink A.E stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FOODL trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.04, fair value €0.3200, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FOODL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.3200). For Foodlink A.E the two are €0.7200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Foodlink A.E worth?
The market values Foodlink A.E at about €35.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.04; our models calculate a fair value of €0.3200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FOODL?
Our models span a range for Foodlink A.E: cautious scenario €0.2400, base €0.3200, optimistic €0.4000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Foodlink A.E (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 66.7%, debt of 2.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FOODL from its 52-week high?
Foodlink A.E trades at €1.04, about 29% below its 52-week high of €1.46 and 36% above the low of €0.7620 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.3200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Foodlink A.E?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Foodlink A.E stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.04, calculated fair value €0.3200 (−69%), Quality Score 47/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FOODL calculated?
We run Foodlink A.E through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.3200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Foodlink A.E itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.04. Our model-based fair value is €0.3200, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Foodlink A.E right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.4000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Foodlink A.E

How large is the market capitalisation of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The market capitalisation of Foodlink A.E is €35.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Foodlink A.E is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Earnings per share at Foodlink A.E are €−0.0170. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The net margin of Foodlink A.E is −0.6% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Foodlink A.E is 66.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Foodlink A.E is −1.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The operating margin of Foodlink A.E is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Revenue at Foodlink A.E is growing +0.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Earnings per share at Foodlink A.E are growing +33.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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