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Foodlink A.E. primarily (FOODL) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GR · Market cap €35.3M

FA Foodlink A.E. primarily FOODL · AT
Price€1.07
Fair Value€0.3200
Upside-70.0%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
High debt
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.2400 – €0.4000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −9.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.4000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€1.46 €0.2526 Fair Value €0.3200 Jul 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.2526 – €1.46 · fair‑value band €0.2400 – €0.4000 · the €1.07 price screens above the €0.3200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Foodlink A.E. primarily (FOODL) currently trades at €1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.3200, implying the stock looks roughly 70.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Foodlink A.E. primarily generated revenue of €97.4M at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 66.7%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.2400 (bear case) to €0.4000 (bull case); at €1.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -70%, FOODL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €1.74 €2.67 €3.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.8200 €1.09 €1.44 74
ROIC Compounder €0.1400 €0.1700 €0.2000 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €1.78 €2.86 €4.45 38
5Y Revenue Exit €0.8200 €1.06 €1.32 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €1.91 €3.32 €5.09 41
10Y Revenue Exit €1.20 €1.54 €1.98 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1.82 €2.97 €4.69 37
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.1200 €0.1400 €0.1500 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.2400 €0.3200 €0.4000 53
EV/EBITDA €2.20 €2.94 €3.67 54
EV/Revenue €0.1700 €0.2500 €0.3200 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0300 €0.0500 €0.0700 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €1.74 €2.67 €3.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.8200 €1.09 €1.44 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.1400 €0.1700 €0.2000 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€2.86) versus Asset-Based (€0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €97.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 66.7%
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) €-0.0170
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +33.4%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Foodlink A.E. primarily provides integrated logistics services. It offers contract logistics including cross-docking, reverse logistics, and co-packing/repackaging; international transportation services, such as road transport, air transport, shipping, and cross docking; sales logistics; e-shop logistics comprising secretarial support & goods management, …

Full company description

Foodlink A.E. primarily provides integrated logistics services. It offers contract logistics including cross-docking, reverse logistics, and co-packing/repackaging; international transportation services, such as road transport, air transport, shipping, and cross docking; sales logistics; e-shop logistics comprising secretarial support & goods management, file management, financial management, courier services, and computerization services; specialized courier services; and logistics intelligence services. Foodlink A.E. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Aspropyrgos, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2016 – FY2020 · reported fiscal years

Foodlink A.E. primarily reported revenue of €70.1M in FY2020 versus €47.6M in FY2016, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€391K in FY2020.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2020)
€70.1M
Latest YoY
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.4%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY16 €47.6M
FY17 €49.3M
FY18 €54.6M
FY19 €64.2M
FY20 €70.1M
Net income
FY16 −€2.0M
FY17 −€2.3M
FY18 −€240K
FY19 −€4.4M
FY20 −€391K

FOODL screens 70% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Foodlink A.E. primarily Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FOODL

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 67% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.19× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/B 18.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.42× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 46
FUTURE 4 · sector 8
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Foodlink A.E. primarily (FOODL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.3200 versus a price of €1.07, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FOODL?
Our model-based fair value for Foodlink A.E. primarily is €0.3200 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €1.07.
What is the quality score of FOODL?
Foodlink A.E. primarily has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Foodlink A.E. primarily (FOODL)?
Foodlink A.E. primarily reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €97.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FOODL?
The net profit margin of Foodlink A.E. primarily is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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