Foodlink A.E (FOODL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Foodlink A.E stock €0.95, price €1.03, that is 7.3% below the price, quality 47 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 21 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.2526 – €1.46 · fair‑value band €0.8100 – €1.08 · the €1.03 price screens above the €0.9500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.
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It offers contract logistics including cross-docking, reverse logistics, and co-packing/repackaging; international transportation services, such as road transport, air transport, shipping, and cross docking; sales logistics; e-shop logistics comprising secretarial support & goods management, file management, financial management, courier services, and computerization services; specialized courier services; and logistics intelligence services.
Foodlink A.E. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Aspropyrgos, Greece.
Stock analysis
Foodlink A.E (FOODL) currently trades at €1.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9500, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €1.43 per share, and 9 of the 21 models we run sit above the €1.03 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €0.5850, and 12 of the 21 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €0.8100 (bear) to €1.08 (bull), the price of €1.03 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Foodlink A.E reported revenue of €97.4M in FY2025 versus €72.6M in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was €1.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €33.4M Micro · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) €−0.0170 · Net margin 1.1% · Return on equity 50.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.9% · Revenue (TTM) €99.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −7%, FOODL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€0.8100Fair Value €0.9500Bull€1.08
Price €1.03 · Downside -7.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.1% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+86.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+86.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 4%
2025 sits 105% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks
P/B13.04× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Foodlink A.E Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FOODL
Frequently asked questions
Is Foodlink A.E (FOODL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.9500 versus a price of €1.03, about 7% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of FOODL?
Our model-based fair value for Foodlink A.E is €0.9500 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.03.
What is the quality score of FOODL?
Foodlink A.E has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.9500 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.8100, optimistic scenario €1.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Foodlink A.E stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.9500, about 7% lower versus a price of €1.03 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €0.8100, optimistic scenario €1.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Foodlink A.E reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €99.2M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Foodlink A.E would have to grow free cash flow by +23.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.8 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FOODL use?
Our models discount Foodlink A.E at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for Greece. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Foodlink A.E that is +23.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Foodlink A.E (FOODL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Foodlink A.E grew +6.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +23.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Foodlink A.E (FOODL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Foodlink A.E (+23.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.26 %: that much free cash flow Foodlink A.E produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Foodlink A.E it is €0.9500 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of €1.03. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Foodlink A.E stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, FOODL trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.03, fair value €0.9500, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FOODL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.03); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.9500). For Foodlink A.E the two are €0.0750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Foodlink A.E worth?
The market values Foodlink A.E at about €33.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is €1.03; our models calculate a fair value of €0.9500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FOODL?
Our models span a range for Foodlink A.E: cautious scenario €0.8100, base €0.9500, optimistic €1.08 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price €1.03). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Foodlink A.E (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 50.8%, debt of 1.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FOODL from its 52-week high?
Foodlink A.E trades at €1.03, about 30% below its 52-week high of €1.46 and 2% above the low of €1.00 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.9500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Foodlink A.E?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Foodlink A.E stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price €1.03, calculated fair value €0.9500 (−7%), Quality Score 47/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FOODL calculated?
We run Foodlink A.E through 21 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €0.9500 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Foodlink A.E itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was €1.03. Our model-based fair value is €0.9500, about 7% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Foodlink A.E right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Foodlink A.E (FOODL) come from?
Earnings per share at Foodlink A.E grew −1.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −5.6 %, EBIT margin +0.8 %, tax rate +7.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Foodlink A.E
How large is the market capitalisation of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The market capitalisation of Foodlink A.E is €33.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Foodlink A.E is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Earnings per share at Foodlink A.E are €−0.0170. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The net margin of Foodlink A.E is 1.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Foodlink A.E is 50.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Foodlink A.E is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
The operating margin of Foodlink A.E is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Revenue at Foodlink A.E is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Foodlink A.E (FOODL)?
Earnings per share at Foodlink A.E are growing −8.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Foodlink A.E (FOODL) carry?
The net debt of Foodlink A.E is €43.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 39.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 3, 2026