Data-driven stock valuation

Gambling.com Group Ltd (GAMB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Gambling.com Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

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Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $83.2M · ISIN JE00BL970N11

At a glance

Gambling.com Group Ltd GAMB · US

Price$0.2480

Fair Value$0.6400

Upside+158.1%

Quality47/100

Below-average quality, trading 61% below our fair value of $0.6400.

As of Aug 28, 2026, the fair value of Gambling.com Group Ltd is $0.6400 per share against a price of $0.2480, so the fair value sits 158% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +42.7 %/yr)

!Loss-making · -27.4% net margin

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

!Trails peers (2/8)

!Narrow moat 24/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

Evidence: Low Range $0.4200 to $1.18

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price −3.1% over the past month.

This is the short version. In the app for Gambling.com Group Ltd:

26 models, one by oneBear $0.4200 to bull $1.18 5-year chart + forecastprice, fair value, trend, scenarios Quality 47/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

Watch Gambling.com Group Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
The model range is unusually wide ($0.4200 to $1.18). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2420 – $16.75 · fair‑value band $0.4200 – $1.18 · the $0.2480 price screens below the $0.6400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Gambling.com Group Ltd (GAMB) currently trades at $0.2480, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 61.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1.38 per share, and 12 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.2480 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.2200, and 1 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Gambling.com Group Ltd generated revenue of $165M at a net margin of −27.4%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −35.6%. Net debt stands at $108M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Scenario range: $0.4200 (bear) to $1.18 (bull), the price of $0.2480 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 158%, GAMB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence

Highest evidence

EPV best evidence $0.3300 $0.4100 $0.4700 74

Growth DCF $0.0800 $0.3000 $0.6400 69

ROIC Compounder $0.3500 $0.5200 $0.6700 69

All 13 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $0.1000 $0.2600 $0.7000 67

5Y Revenue Exit $0.1500 $0.4600 $1.12 62

5Y EBITDA Exit $0.6600 $1.50 $3.15 67

10Y Revenue Exit $0.1100 $0.5800 $0.8700 61

10Y EBITDA Exit $0.4500 $1.52 $3.45 59

Earnings-Based

EPV best evidence $0.3300 $0.4100 $0.4700 74

Multiples

EV/EBIT $1.00 $1.43 $1.86 65

EV/EBITDA $0.9600 $1.38 $1.79 67

EV/Revenue $0.1400 $0.3200 $0.4900 51

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.1600 $0.2200 $0.3200 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $0.0800 $0.3000 $0.6400 69

Rev-Margin DCF $0.1900 $0.5700 $1.35 63

Economic Profit

ROIC Compounder $0.3500 $0.5200 $0.6700 69

Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.38) versus Asset-Based ($0.2200). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.50 TTM

EPS (TTM) $−1.28

Net margin −19.9% FY2025

Return on equity −35.6% TTM

Return on assets (EBIT) 11.7% avg 5y

Operating margin 9.0% TTM

More key figures

Growth

Revenue (TTM) $165M TTM

Revenue growth (YoY) −0.5% 3y avg +29.3%

EPS growth (YoY) +63.2%

Balance sheet & cash flow

Free cash flow $10.8M FY2025

Net debt $108M FY2025 · ≈ 10.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 24

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 20

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 56

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 45

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 54

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 43

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 7

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 0

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 100

Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Full company description

Gambling.com Group Limited provides marketing and sports data services for the gambling industry in North America, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company offers digital marketing, and consumer and enterprise data subscription services for iGaming and social casino products. It also provides intra group and ticketing services, as well as fantasy data. In addition, the company offers sports betting and fantasy sports data through its sports data platform and under the OddsJam, OpticOdds, and RotoWire brand names. Additionally, it operates various branded websites, including Gambling.com, Bookies.com, Casinos.com, and Freebets.com. Further, the company operates BonusFinder.com; Spotlight.Vegas, an online booking platform that helps customers access experiences, such as live events and local attractions; and launched website to individual U.S. states and the Canadian states that provide local online gamblers with the news and analysis. Gambling.com Group Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Saint Helier, Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gambling.com Group Ltd reported revenue of $165M in FY2025 versus $42.3M in FY2021, a compound +40.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$32.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Latest Revenue (FY 2025)

$165M

Latest YoY

+30.1%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+29.3%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+42.7%

Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.

+39.9%

EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

7.3% (2019) → 28.1% (2024)

Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

Revenue +40.6%/yr

FY21 $42.3M

FY22 $76.5M

FY23 $109M

FY24 $127M

FY25 $165M

Net income

FY21 $12.5M

FY22 $2.4M

FY23 $18.3M

FY24 $30.7M

FY25 −$32.9M

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Gambling.com Group Ltd · Fair Value
$0.6400 +61%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAMB" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Gambling.com Group Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$0.6400</b> <span style="color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+61%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:#7BB290;font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gambling.com Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GAMB

Peer Group

Gambling · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation

Quality Score 47 · Below median

Fair Value upside +148% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on assets 6% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) −27% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −1% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 1.01× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.77× · Cheapest 25%

P/S (TTM) 0.50× · Cheapest 25%

P/FCF 7.7× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE100 · sector 29

FUTURE0 · sector 9

PAST0 · sector 26

HEALTH50 · sector 89

DIVIDEND0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT	$100.11	$88.33	−12%
Evolution AB EVO	kr 832.60	kr 982.64	+18%
The Lottery Corporation TLC	A$5.36	A$2.99	−44%
Rush Street Interactive, Inc RSI	$26.05	$3.10	−88%
Super Group SGHC	$13.95	$9.39	−33%
Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO	$89.75	$77.19	−14%
Lottomatica Group LTMC	€25.59	€16.45	−36%
Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN	$86.65	$88.74	+2%
FDJ United FDJ	€22.33	€20.97	−6%
Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL	$11.30	$17.61	+56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gambling.com Group Ltd (GAMB) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6400 versus a price of $0.2480, about +158% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of GAMB?

Our model-based fair value for Gambling.com Group Ltd is $0.6400 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2480.

What is the quality score of GAMB?

Gambling.com Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Gambling.com Group Ltd (GAMB)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6400 (as of Aug 28, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4200, optimistic scenario $1.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Gambling.com Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $0.6400, about +158% upside versus a price of $0.2480 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.4200, optimistic scenario $1.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Gambling.com Group Ltd (GAMB)?

Gambling.com Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $165M (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of GAMB?

The net profit margin of Gambling.com Group Ltd is about −27.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

What is the intrinsic value of Gambling.com Group Ltd (GAMB)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gambling.com Group Ltd it is $0.6400 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026), against a price of $0.2480. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Gambling.com Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Aug 28, 2026, GAMB trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.2480, fair value $0.6400, a gap of about +158% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of GAMB?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2480); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6400). For Gambling.com Group Ltd the two are $0.3920 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Gambling.com Group Ltd worth?

The market values Gambling.com Group Ltd at about $83.2M (market capitalisation, as of Aug 28, 2026). Per share that is $0.2480; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6400 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GAMB?

Our models span a range for Gambling.com Group Ltd: cautious scenario $0.4200, base $0.6400, optimistic $1.18 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026, price $0.2480). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Gambling.com Group Ltd (GAMB)?

Balance-sheet figures for Gambling.com Group Ltd (as of Aug 28, 2026): return on equity −35.6%, debt of 1.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

Which stocks are comparable to Gambling.com Group Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Flutter Entertainment plc, Evolution AB, The Lottery Corporation, Rush Street Interactive, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Gambling.com Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Aug 28, 2026: price $0.2480, calculated fair value $0.6400 (+158%), Quality Score 47/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of GAMB calculated?

We run Gambling.com Group Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

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