Gunnison Copper Corp (GCU) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$179M
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price +23.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0595). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (21 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range C$0.1350 – C$0.6600 · fair‑value band C$0.0340 – C$0.0595 · the C$0.4450 price screens above the C$0.0425 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Gunnison Copper Corp (GCU) currently trades at C$0.4450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 90.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at C$30.4M. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$14.0M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.3. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$0.0340 (bear case) to C$0.0595 (bull case); at C$0.4450, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -90%, GCU screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 14 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gunnison Copper Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of copper mineral properties in the United States. The company also explores zinc, copper and silver deposits.
Full company description
Gunnison Copper Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of copper mineral properties in the United States. The company also explores zinc, copper and silver deposits. Its flagship property is the Gunnison copper project consists of unpatented mining claims, private land, exploration permits, mineral leases, and direct ownership of mineral rights covering an area of approximately 10 square miles located in Cochise County, Arizona. In addition, the company engages in the construction and operation of copper mines. The company was formerly known as Excelsior Mining Corp. and changed its name to Gunnison Copper Corp. in November 2024. Gunnison Copper Corp. is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gunnison Copper Corp reported revenue of C$10.9M in FY2025 versus C$5.0M in FY2021, a compound +21.3%/yr. Reported net income was −C$56.4M in FY2025.
GCU screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →
Peer Group
Copper · 59 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $175.66 | $86.74 | -51% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $61.52 | $22.81 | -63% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$34.86 | C$18.67 | -46% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥39.03 | ¥35.19 | -10% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥5.79 | ¥3.06 | -47% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$28.58 | C$21.79 | -24% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥16.66 | ¥7.00 | -58% |
| Capstone Copper Corp CSC | A$13.06 | A$7.28 | -44% |
| Yunnan Copper Co 000878 | ¥14.32 | ¥9.12 | -36% |
| China Nonferrous Mining Corporation 1258 | HK$14.75 | HK$1.76 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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