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PT Gudang Garam Tbk, (GDNGY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.7B

Price$3.81
Fair Value$7.17
Upside+88.2%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $5.25 – $8.78

Analysis

PT Gudang Garam Tbk, (GDNGY) currently trades at $3.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.17 — implying the stock looks roughly 88.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

PT Gudang Garam Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cigarettes, Paperboards, Infrastructure, and Others segments. The company offers hand-rolled, machine-made, and klobot clove cigarettes under the Gudang Garam Family, Surya Family, and GG Family brand names. It also involved in trading business; and provision of safety protective equipment, airport, toll road, and construction services. In addition, the company offers tobacco processing, non-scheduled air transportation, infrastructure, entertainment, and tourism services. The company was formerly known as PT Perusahaan Rokok Tjap "Gudang Garam" Kediri. PT Gudang Garam Tbk was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Kediri, Indonesia. PT Gudang Garam Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Suryaduta Investama.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.