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Data-driven stock valuation

Gafisa SA ADR (GFASY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Gafisa SA ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $95.6M · ISIN US3626074005

At a glance

GS Gafisa SA ADR logo Gafisa SA ADR GFASY · US
Price$0.0280
Fair Value$0.0292
Upside+4.3%
Quality20/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $0.0292.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Gafisa SA ADR is $0.0292 per share against a price of $0.0280, so the fair value sits 4% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −7.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -124.1% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $0.0261 to $0.0315

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from $0.0325 to $0.0292 (−10.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −60.0% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$68.49 $0.0120 Fair Value $0.0292 Oct 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0120 – $68.49 · fair‑value band $0.0261 – $0.0315 · the $0.0280 price screens below the $0.0292 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Gafisa SA ADR (GFASY) currently trades at $0.0280, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0292, implying the stock looks roughly 4.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $493M. Revenue declined 55.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −34.7%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Scenario range: $0.0261 (bear) to $0.0315 (bull), the price of $0.0280 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 49% fair-value upside, at 4%, GFASY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.4500 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.4500 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.19 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−1.47
Net margin −87.9% FY2025
Return on equity −34.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% avg 5y
Operating margin −8.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $493M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −55.9% 3y avg −18.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −11.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$195M FY2025
Net debt $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 20/100

Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 32
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Gafisa S.A. operates as a development and construction company under the Gafisa brand name in Brazil. The company is involved in residential, commercial projects. It also offers technical consultancy services, real estate management and construction services, and development and implementation of marketing strategies for real estate projects. Gafisa S.A.

Full company description

Gafisa S.A. operates as a development and construction company under the Gafisa brand name in Brazil. The company is involved in residential, commercial projects. It also offers technical consultancy services, real estate management and construction services, and development and implementation of marketing strategies for real estate projects. Gafisa S.A. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gafisa SA ADR reported revenue of R$608M in FY2025 versus R$818M in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was −R$534M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$608M
Latest YoY
−40.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.6% (2019) → −55.4% (2025)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −7.2%/yr
FY21 R$818M
FY22 R$1.1B
FY23 R$1.1B
FY24 R$1.0B
FY25 R$608M
Net income
FY21 R$90.2M
FY22 −R$83.2M
FY23 −R$195M
FY24 −R$40.6M
FY25 −R$534M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gafisa SA ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GFASY

Peer Group

Residential Construction · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −124% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −56% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.41× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.86× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE43 · sector 58
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 32
HEALTH79 · sector 88
DIVIDEND0 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $142.75 $213.23 +49%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $124.45 $190.17 +53%
Lennar Corporation LEN $83.58 $116.80 +40%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,299 $7,821 +24%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $141.73 $221.32 +56%
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC $72.45 $136.88 +89%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $237.70 $209.51 −12%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $67.33 $102.94 +53%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $93.88 $75.12 −20%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $598.38 $421.10 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gafisa SA ADR (GFASY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0292 versus a price of $0.0280, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GFASY?
Our model-based fair value for Gafisa SA ADR is $0.0292 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0280.
What is the quality score of GFASY?
Gafisa SA ADR has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gafisa SA ADR (GFASY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0292 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0261, optimistic scenario $0.0315. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gafisa SA ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0292, about +4% upside versus a price of $0.0280 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0261, optimistic scenario $0.0315. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gafisa SA ADR (GFASY)?
Gafisa SA ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $493M (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GFASY?
The net profit margin of Gafisa SA ADR is about −124.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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