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Gafisa S.A (GFASY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $95.6M

GS Gafisa S.A logo Gafisa S.A GFASY · US
Price$0.3800
Fair Value$0.4381
Upside+15.3%
Quality18/100
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Evidence: Low Range $0.2894 – $0.5478 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $4.82 to $0.4381 (−90.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −96.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$188.94 $0.3800 Fair Value $0.4381 Nov 2023 Jul 2026

12‑month range $0.3800 – $188.94 · fair‑value band $0.2894 – $0.5478 · the $0.3800 price screens below the $0.4381 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Gafisa S.A (GFASY) currently trades at $0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4381, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $493M. Revenue declined 55.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -34.7%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2894 (bear case) to $0.5478 (bull case); at $0.3800, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 15%, GFASY screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $493M
Revenue growth (YoY) -55.9%
Net margin -124%
Return on equity -34.7%
Free cash flow −$195M FY2025
Operating margin -8.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.47
EPS growth (YoY) -11.3%
Net debt $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Gafisa S.A. operates as a development and construction company under the Gafisa brand name in Brazil. The company is involved in residential, commercial projects. It also offers technical consultancy services, real estate management and construction services, and development and implementation of marketing strategies for real estate projects. Gafisa S.A. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Gafisa S.A reported revenue of $608M in FY2025 versus $818M in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$534M in FY2025.

Revenue −7.2%/yr
FY21 $818M
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $608M
Net income
FY21 $90.2M
FY22 −$83.2M
FY23 −$195M
FY24 −$40.6M
FY25 −$534M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gafisa S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GFASY

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Frequently asked questions

Is Gafisa S.A (GFASY) undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4381 versus a price of $0.3800, about +15% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of GFASY?
Our model-based fair value for Gafisa S.A is $0.4381 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3800.
What is the quality score of GFASY?
Gafisa S.A has a Quality Score of 18/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Gafisa S.A (GFASY)?
Gafisa S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $493M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GFASY?
The net profit margin of Gafisa S.A is about -124.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.