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Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Galaxy Gaming Inc $2.78, price $1.59, upside +74.8%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US36318P1057

GG Galaxy Gaming Inc logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Galaxy Gaming Inc

GLXZ · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $2.78 · Strongly undervalued (+75%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +24.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 15.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/10)
✓Wide moat 77/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.25 $1.26 Fair Value $2.78 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.26 – $5.25 · fair‑value band $1.44 – $4.11 · the $1.59 price screens below the $2.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Galaxy Gaming, Inc., a gaming company, engages in the design, development, acquisition, assembly, marketing and licensing of proprietary casino table games, side bets, and associated technology, platforms and systems for the casino and iGaming industries.

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Galaxy Gaming, Inc., a gaming company, engages in the design, development, acquisition, assembly, marketing and licensing of proprietary casino table games, side bets, and associated technology, platforms and systems for the casino and iGaming industries. The company's proprietary table games comprise side bets, which are proprietary features and wagering options added to public domain games, such as baccarat, pai gow poker, craps, and blackjack table games under the 21+3, Lucky Ladies, and Bonus Craps brand names; and premium games, which are stand-alone games with their own set of rules and strategies under the Heads Up Hold 'em, High Card Flush, Cajun Stud, Three Card Poker, and EZ Baccarat names. It also offers other ancillary equipment, as well as licenses various game titles to operators of online gaming systems. The company markets its products to online casinos worldwide; land-based casino gaming companies in North America, the Caribbean, Central America, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Africa; and cruise ships. Galaxy Gaming, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Stock analysis

Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ) currently trades at $1.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 42.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.54 per share, and 14 of the 21 models we run sit above the $1.59 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.8000, and 7 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.44 (bear) to $4.11 (bull), the price of $1.59 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Galaxy Gaming Inc reported revenue of $30.9M in FY2025 versus $20.0M in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5M in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $46.1M · P/E ratio 8.4 · P/S ratio 0.40 · EPS (TTM) $0.1900 · Net margin 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.1% · Operating margin 28.4% · Revenue (TTM) $30.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside, at 75%, GLXZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.44 Fair Value $2.78 Bull $4.11
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1395 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.68 $6.09 $12.04 75
EPV $1.36 $1.77 $2.13 74
Growth DCF $2.61 $5.60 $10.58 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.68 $6.09 $12.04 75
Owner Earnings $1.30 $3.51 $7.39 70
5Y Revenue Exit $0.6900 $1.74 $3.09 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $2.60 $5.81 $9.91 72
5Y P/E Exit $0.6100 $1.56 $2.62 67
10Y Revenue Exit $1.30 $2.54 $4.35 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $2.59 $5.51 $10.10 65
10Y P/E Exit $1.28 $2.42 $3.95 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.4000 $2.05 $2.84 64
Lynch FV $0.5600 $0.8000 $1.04 61
PEG = 1.0 $0.5600 $0.8000 $1.04 57
EPV $1.36 $1.77 $2.13 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.9700 $1.29 $1.61 63
P/S Multiple $0.7500 $0.9900 $1.24 58
EV/EBIT $3.07 $4.52 $5.97 65
EV/EBITDA $2.85 $4.23 $5.61 66
EV/Revenue n/a $0.1800 $0.6200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.61 $5.60 $10.58 74
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6900 $1.75 $3.18 68
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $1.63 $2.43 $3.35 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.8600 $1.23 $1.60 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−22% → 27%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 57 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +75% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 67

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

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Frequently asked questions

Is Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.78 versus a price of $1.59, about +75% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GLXZ?
Our model-based fair value for Galaxy Gaming Inc is $2.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.59.
What is the quality score of GLXZ?
Galaxy Gaming Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.44, optimistic scenario $4.11. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Galaxy Gaming Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.78, about +75% upside versus a price of $1.59 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.44, optimistic scenario $4.11. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
Galaxy Gaming Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Galaxy Gaming Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +2.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.7 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GLXZ use?
Our models discount Galaxy Gaming Inc at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.41, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Galaxy Gaming Inc that is +2.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Galaxy Gaming Inc grew +24.7 % a year. The price currently implies +2.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Galaxy Gaming Inc (+2.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.51 %: that much free cash flow Galaxy Gaming Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Galaxy Gaming Inc it is $2.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.59. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Galaxy Gaming Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GLXZ trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.59, fair value $2.78, a gap of about +75% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GLXZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.78). For Galaxy Gaming Inc the two are $1.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Galaxy Gaming Inc worth?
The market values Galaxy Gaming Inc at about $46.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.59; our models calculate a fair value of $2.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GLXZ?
Our models span a range for Galaxy Gaming Inc: cautious scenario $1.44, base $2.78, optimistic $4.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GLXZ?
Galaxy Gaming Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Galaxy Gaming Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GLXZ from its 52-week high?
Galaxy Gaming Inc trades at $1.59, about 46% below its 52-week high of $2.95 and 6% above the low of $1.50 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Galaxy Gaming Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Flutter Entertainment plc, Evolution AB, The Lottery Corporation, Rush Street Interactive, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Galaxy Gaming Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.59, calculated fair value $2.78 (+75%), Quality Score 67/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GLXZ calculated?
We run Galaxy Gaming Inc through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Galaxy Gaming Inc currently trades 75 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $1.59. Our model-based fair value is $2.78, about +75% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Galaxy Gaming Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.44 to $4.11). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Galaxy Gaming Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
The market capitalisation of Galaxy Gaming Inc is $46.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Galaxy Gaming Inc is 0.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Gaming Inc are $0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
The net margin of Galaxy Gaming Inc is 4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Galaxy Gaming Inc is 17.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
The operating margin of Galaxy Gaming Inc is 28.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
Revenue at Galaxy Gaming Inc is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ)?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Gaming Inc are growing +286% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Galaxy Gaming Inc (GLXZ) carry?
The net debt of Galaxy Gaming Inc is $35.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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