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Entain Plc (GMVHY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $4.7B

EP Entain Plc logo Entain Plc GMVHY · US
Price$7.28
Fair Value$14.33
Upside+96.8%
Quality46/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -12.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
3.32% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range $9.41 – $19.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $14.08 to $14.33 (+1.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 97% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($9.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($9.41 to $19.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$31.56 $6.05 Fair Value $14.33 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.05 – $31.56 · fair‑value band $9.41 – $19.25 · the $7.28 price screens below the $14.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Entain Plc (GMVHY) currently trades at $7.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.33, implying the stock looks roughly 96.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Entain Plc generated revenue of $5.3B at a net margin of -12.7%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -40.6%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.41 (bear case) to $19.25 (bull case); at $7.28, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 97%, GMVHY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.72 $17.73 $37.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.72 $12.67 $28.25 74
ROIC Compounder $0.9100 $2.42 $4.45 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.53 $15.75 $38.24 38
5Y Revenue Exit $4.33 $10.46 $23.26 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.79 $23.52 $48.51 41
10Y Revenue Exit $5.44 $16.37 $22.90 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.34 $29.95 $64.47 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.9100 $1.81 $2.60 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.64 $3.27 $4.95 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.64 $2.82 $3.45 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.25 $9.94 $13.63 53
EV/EBITDA $11.15 $16.47 $21.80 54
EV/Revenue $1.92 $4.81 $7.71 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6900 $0.9300 $1.39 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.72 $17.73 $37.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.72 $12.67 $28.25 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.9100 $2.42 $4.45 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($16.37) versus Asset-Based ($0.9300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin -12.7%
Return on equity -40.6%
Free cash flow $538M FY2025
Operating margin 12.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.40
Dividend yield 3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -63.8%
Net debt $3.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 7
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Entain Plc operates as a sports-betting and gaming company in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Italy, rest of Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally.

Full company description

Entain Plc operates as a sports-betting and gaming company in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Italy, rest of Europe, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It provides online and multi-channel betting under the Ladbrokes name; street and online betting under the Coral name; online sports betting, casino, and gaming under the Eurobet name; scores, sports information, editorial and social content, and sports focused free-to play games under the 365Scores name; sports betting and gaming operator under the SuperSport and BetCity names; online betting under the bwin name; and sports betting, poker, and casino games under the Crystalbet name. The company also offers online casino and sports betting under the Optibet name; online bingo under the Gala Bingo; online bingo under the Foxy Bingo name; sportsbetting and gaming under the Sports Interaction and Vistabet names; games under the Nutz and Laimz names; game under the boost casino name; online gaming under the Borgata Bingo name; bingo and casino under the Foxy Games name; online bingo, sportsbook, casino, and poker under the betboo; and management software solutions for racing and sportsbooks under the Stadium name. In addition, it offers sports betting and iGaming under the BetMGM and Sportingbet names; sports betting under the Ladbrokes Australia, TAB, betcha, and STS names; Gioco Digitale, an online poker platform; Ladbrokes Belgium, a sports betting platform; online casino under the Ninja Casino and PartyCasino names; casino and live casino under the Gala Casino name; online poker under the PartyPoker name; sports under the Neds and Klondaika names; and iGaming platform under the Finnplay name. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Douglas, Isle of Man.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Entain Plc reported revenue of $5.1B in FY2025 versus $3.8B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$652M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.1B
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+29.8%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 $3.8B
FY22 $4.3B
FY23 $4.8B
FY24 $5.1B
FY25 $5.1B
Net income
FY21 $249M
FY22 $24.2M
FY23 −$929M
FY24 −$453M
FY25 −$652M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Entain Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GMVHY

Peer Group

Gambling · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +97% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 4.11× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.89× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 29
FUTURE 19 · sector 9
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 66 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT $110.66 $88.33 -20%
Evolution AB EVO kr 684.00 kr 974.80 +43%
The Lottery Corporation TLC A$5.62 A$2.99 -47%
Super Group SGHC $14.73 $9.39 -36%
Lottomatica Group LTMC €25.62 €16.38 -36%
Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO $78.94 $70.17 -11%
Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN $83.95 $94.74 +13%
FDJ United FDJ €23.24 €20.97 -10%
Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL $10.71 $17.61 +64%
Tabcorp Holdings TAH A$0.8750 A$0.3700 -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Entain Plc (GMVHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.33 versus a price of $7.28, about +97% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GMVHY?
Our model-based fair value for Entain Plc is $14.33 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.28.
What is the quality score of GMVHY?
Entain Plc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Entain Plc (GMVHY)?
Entain Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GMVHY?
The net profit margin of Entain Plc is about -12.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Entain Plc pay a dividend?
Entain Plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.32% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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