Metalurgica Gerdau S.A (GOAU3) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · BR · Market cap R$12.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026 — revised from R$31.26 to R$8.21 (−73.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$6.32 – R$9.91 · fair‑value band R$4.58 – R$8.60 · the R$8.69 price screens above the R$8.21 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
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Metalurgica Gerdau S.A (GOAU3) currently trades at R$8.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$8.21 — implying the stock looks roughly 5.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Metalurgica Gerdau S.A generated revenue of R$69.2B at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue declined 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at R$10.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$4.58 (bear case) to R$8.60 (bull case); at R$8.69, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside — at -6%, GOAU3 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies long steel products in Brazil, the Americas, and internationally. The company offers rebars, profiles, wires, thick plates, hot-rolled coils, billets, blooms, plates, wire rod, structural profiles, and flat steel and iron ore, as well as bars, including special steels. Metalurgica Gerdau S.A.was formerly known as METALÚRGICA HUGO GERDAU S.A and changed its name to Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. in June 1965. Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Indac - Indústria, Administração e Comércio S.A.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A reported revenue of R$69.9B in FY2025 versus R$78.3B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was R$476M in FY2025, compounding −44.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2140 | $0.2500 | +17% |
| Nucor Corporation N1UE34 | R$103.95 | R$9.67 | -91% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$172.80 | R$119.18 | -31% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,270 | ₹1,007 | -21% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 363,000 KRW | 143,097 KRW | -61% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.74 | ¥6.34 | +10% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.25 TWD | 9.37 TWD | -76% |
| Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 | ¥2.32 | ¥0.3500 | -85% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 3,789 ARS | -72% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,121 | ₹410.48 | -63% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.