Godfrey Phillips India Limited (GODFRYPHLP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹332B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +0.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 24% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (₹723.72 to ₹2,447). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹210.48 – ₹3,617 · fair‑value band ₹723.72 – ₹2,447 · the ₹2,105 price screens above the ₹1,599 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Godfrey Phillips India Limited (GODFRYPHLP) currently trades at ₹2,105, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,599, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Godfrey Phillips India Limited generated revenue of ₹61.8B at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue grew 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.1%. Net debt stands at ₹898M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹723.72 (bear case) to ₹2,447 (bull case); at ₹2,105, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -24%, GODFRYPHLP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹2,424) versus Asset-Based (₹266.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Godfrey Phillips India Limited manufactures and sells cigarettes, chewing products, and tobacco products primarily in India and internationally. It operates through Cigarette, Tobacco, and Related Products; Retail and Related products; and Others segments. The company manufactures cut tobacco; and trades in and distributes tobacco and other retail products.
Full company description
Godfrey Phillips India Limited manufactures and sells cigarettes, chewing products, and tobacco products primarily in India and internationally. It operates through Cigarette, Tobacco, and Related Products; Retail and Related products; and Others segments. The company manufactures cut tobacco; and trades in and distributes tobacco and other retail products. It sells its cigarette products under the Four Square, Red and White, I gen, Cavanders, Stellar, Focus, club one, Originals international, North Pole and Tipper, and Marlboro brands; and chewing gums and candy under the Funda brand name. It also operates convenience stores under the 24SEVEN name. In addition, the company involved in the acquisition of securities and real estate business. Godfrey Phillips India Limited was incorporated in 1936 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Godfrey Phillips India Limited reported revenue of ₹63.5B in FY2026 versus ₹26.5B in FY2022, a compound +24.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹15.3B in FY2026, compounding +36.6%/yr from FY2022.
GODFRYPHLP screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Philip Morris International Inc →
Peer Group
Tobacco · 38 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Morris International Inc PM | $186.19 | $103.71 | -44% |
| British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI | $55.84 | $61.07 | +9% |
| Altria Group MO | $66.03 | $81.81 | +24% |
| ITC Limited ITC | ₹276.15 | ₹244.79 | -11% |
| KT&G Corporation 033780 | 175,500 KRW | 110,656 KRW | -37% |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP | 745.00 IDR | 1,041 IDR | +40% |
| Smoore International Holdings 6969 | HK$9.24 | HK$4.19 | -55% |
| PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM | 19,575 IDR | 16,988 IDR | -13% |
| TABAK TABAK | 18,700 CZK | 23,215 CZK | +24% |
| China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 | HK$23.86 | HK$24.09 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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