Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd ₹3.03, price ₹5.97, upside -49.3%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Goyal Aluminiums Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.7153 – ₹45.30 · fair‑value band ₹2.12 – ₹3.94 · the ₹5.97 price screens above the ₹3.03 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Goyal Aluminiums in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Goyal Aluminiums is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Goyal Aluminiums Limited engages in the trading business in India. The company engages in leasing and renting of electric vehicle, E-cart, and electric buses. It also offers lithium ion battery, capacitors, fly wheels, GPS systems, controllers, power trains, and batteries. In addition, the company provides energy storage devices.
Show more
Goyal Aluminiums Limited engages in the trading business in India. The company engages in leasing and renting of electric vehicle, E-cart, and electric buses. It also offers lithium ion battery, capacitors, fly wheels, GPS systems, controllers, power trains, and batteries. In addition, the company provides energy storage devices. Goyal Aluminiums Limited was incorporated in 2017 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM) currently trades at ₹5.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3.03, 49.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹3.03 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹5.97 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹0.9600, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹2.12 (bear) to ₹3.94 (bull), the price of ₹5.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Goyal Aluminiums Ltd reported revenue of ₹756M in FY2026 versus ₹824M in FY2022, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹30.8M in FY2026, compounding +30.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹852M (≈ $8.8M) · P/E ratio 24.9 · P/S ratio 1.02 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.2400 · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 12.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 2.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −49%, GOYALALUM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹2.12Fair Value ₹3.03Bull ₹3.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1210 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−15.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 79 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside−49.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)12.9% · Above median
Return on assets4.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)2.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.9× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.36× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.10× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA28.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)46· sector 61
PAST (return on equity)52· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)87· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 40
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3.03 versus a price of ₹5.97, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GOYALALUM?
Our model-based fair value for Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is ₹3.03 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹5.97.
What is the quality score of GOYALALUM?
Goyal Aluminiums Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹3.03 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹2.12, optimistic scenario ₹3.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Goyal Aluminiums Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹3.03, about −49% upside versus a price of ₹5.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹2.12, optimistic scenario ₹3.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
Goyal Aluminiums Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹772M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Goyal Aluminiums Ltd it is ₹3.03 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹5.97. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Goyal Aluminiums Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GOYALALUM trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹5.97, fair value ₹3.03, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOYALALUM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹5.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹3.03). For Goyal Aluminiums Ltd the two are ₹2.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Goyal Aluminiums Ltd worth?
The market values Goyal Aluminiums Ltd at about ₹852M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹5.97; our models calculate a fair value of ₹3.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOYALALUM?
Our models span a range for Goyal Aluminiums Ltd: cautious scenario ₹2.12, base ₹3.03, optimistic ₹3.94 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹5.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GOYALALUM?
Goyal Aluminiums Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹3.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 28.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 12.9%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GOYALALUM from its 52-week high?
Goyal Aluminiums Ltd trades at ₹5.97, about 43% below its 52-week high of ₹10.39 and 7% above the low of ₹5.58 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹3.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Goyal Aluminiums Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Aluminum Corporation, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Goyal Aluminiums Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹5.97, calculated fair value ₹3.03 (−49%), Quality Score 51/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOYALALUM calculated?
We run Goyal Aluminiums Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹3.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Goyal Aluminiums Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹5.97. Our model-based fair value is ₹3.03, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Goyal Aluminiums Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹2.12 to ₹3.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
The market capitalisation of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is ₹852M (≈ $8.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is 1.02 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
Earnings per share at Goyal Aluminiums Ltd are ₹0.2400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
The net margin of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is 4.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
The operating margin of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
Revenue at Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM)?
Earnings per share at Goyal Aluminiums Ltd are growing +50.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM) generate?
The free cash flow of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is −₹117M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Goyal Aluminiums Ltd (GOYALALUM) carry?
The net debt of Goyal Aluminiums Ltd is ₹106M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Goyal Aluminiums Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Goyal Aluminiums Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
