Guidewire Software Inc (GWRE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Guidewire Software Inc stock $82.24, price $171, that is 51.8% below the price, quality 80 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Guidewire Software Inc
GWRE · USOur calculation puts a fair price 52% below what the stock costs today.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $52.65 – $261.88 · fair‑value band $57.94 – $106.92 · the $170.62 price screens above the $82.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Company profile
Guidewire Software, Inc. provides a platform for property and casualty (P&C) insurers worldwide. It offers Guidewire InsuranceSuite, such as PolicyCenter, ClaimCenter, and BillingCenter applications.
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The company also provides Guidewire InsuranceNow, a cloud-based application that offers policy administration, claims management, and billing functionality, plus pre-integrated document production, analytics, and other capabilities.
In addition, it offers Guidewire Rating Management to manage the pricing of insurance products; Guidewire Reinsurance Management to use rules-based logic to execute reinsurance strategy through underwriting and claims processes; Guidewire Client Data Management that helps P&C insurers to capitalize on customer information; Guidewire Advanced Product Designer, a cloud-native application for insurance product design and management; Guidewire Product Content Management provides software tools and standards-based, line-of-business templates.
Further, the company provides Guidewire Digital Engagement Applications, which enable insurers to provide digital experiences; Guidewire Predict, a P&C-specific machine-learning platform; Guidewire HazardHub that allows insurers to understand, assess, price, and manage property risk; Guidewire Canvas, Guidewire Compare, Guidewire industry Intel, Guidewire Data Studio, and Guidewire Explore, an cloud-native applications; Guidewire Cyence, a cyber-risk economic modeling product; Guidewire DataHub, an operational data store; and Guidewire InfoCenter, a business intelligence warehouse for P&C insurers . The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
Stock analysis
Guidewire Software Inc (GWRE) currently trades at $170.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $82.24, 52% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $58.60 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $170.62 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $12.75, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $57.94 (bear) to $106.92 (bull), the price of $170.62 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Guidewire Software Inc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2026 versus $813M in FY2022, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was $139M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $14.3B Large · P/E ratio 104.7 · P/S ratio 9.67 · EPS (TTM) $1.63 · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 10.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin 15.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −52%, GWRE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 5 officers or directors sold shares worth $36.6M and none bought.
- SaleMichael George RosenbaumChief Executive Officer, Director53× since Nov 10, 2025: 151,672 shares, avg. $152.48$23.1MNov 2, 2026
- SaleJohn P MullenPresident8× since Dec 1, 2025: 86,726 shares, avg. $163.32$14.2MOct 26, 2026
- SaleJames Winston KingChief Admin Officer, Gen Couns7× since Nov 17, 2025: 30,181 shares, avg. $158.15$4.8MOct 9, 2026
- SaleJeffrey Elliott CooperChief Financial Officer7× since Dec 16, 2025: 48,129 shares, avg. $148.10$7.1MSep 18, 2026
- SaleDavid Franklin PetersonChief Accounting Officer5× since Dec 16, 2025: 5,282 shares, avg. $173.78$917,924Sep 17, 2026
Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 4, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
GWRE screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
- Guidewire Software (GWRE) Moves Deeper Into AI With Underwriting Deal And Core Platform
- Guidewire Software (GWRE): AI Adoption and Cloud Momentum Drive Stellar Q4 Results
- Guidewire Celebrates Customer and Partner Innovation Across P&C Insurance
- Guidewire Congratulates 2026 Innovation Award Winners - Beazley, Definity, and RCIS
Compare Guidewire Software Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 634 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- P/S ratio by industry
- EBIT margin by industry
- PEG screener for stocks with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $248.48 | $463.72 | +87% | vs GWRE |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $227.11 | $342.73 | +51% | vs GWRE |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $69.87 | $101.25 | +45% | vs GWRE |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $356.64 | $459.14 | +29% | vs GWRE |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $108.81 | $119.69 | +10% | vs GWRE |
| SAP SE SAP | €215.75 | €173.59 | −20% | vs GWRE |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $329.52 | $225.48 | −32% | vs GWRE |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $303.54 | $150.40 | −50% | vs GWRE |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | $153.03 | $68.68 | −55% | vs GWRE |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $290.60 | $73.81 | −75% | vs GWRE |
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Key figures of Guidewire Software Inc
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