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Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group (HAOTF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $49.9M

HT Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group logo Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group HAOTF · US
Price$0.0045
Fair Value$0.0047
Upside+4.4%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -155.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0047 – $0.0052 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0047). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($0.0047 to $0.0052), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$0.1651 $0.0011 Fair Value $0.0047 Nov 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range $0.0011 – $0.1651 · fair‑value band $0.0047 – $0.0052 · the $0.0045 price screens below the $0.0047 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group (HAOTF) currently trades at $0.0045, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0047, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $100M. Revenue declined 52.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.5%. Net debt stands at $551M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0047 (bear case) to $0.0052 (bull case); at $0.0045, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 4%, HAOTF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0100 80
NCAV (Graham) $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0800 50
FCF DCF $0.0100 38
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0100 38
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0400 $0.0500 $0.0800 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0100 80

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $100M
Revenue growth (YoY) -52.3%
Net margin -155%
Return on equity -12.5%
Free cash flow $50.0M FY2025
Operating margin -90.2%
More key figures
Net debt $551M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the construction machinery business in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Cambodia, and Macau.

Full company description

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the construction machinery business in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Cambodia, and Macau. It engages in the rental and trade of construction machinery and spare parts, including crawler cranes of different sizes, other mobile cranes, aerial platforms, and foundation equipment. The company also provides transportation services, such as local container delivery, construction site delivery, and heavy machinery transport, as well as repair and maintenance services. In addition, it provides financial services, including securities, futures trading, asset management, wealth management, financing, and precious metal business, as well as money lending services comprising mortgaged and personal loans. Further, the company holds properties for development. It primarily serves construction work companies. The company was founded in 1962 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hao Tian Management (China) Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group reported revenue of $145M in FY2025 versus $220M in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$190M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$145M
Latest YoY
−16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.5%
Revenue −9.9%/yr
FY21 $220M
FY22 $220M
FY23 $246M
FY24 $173M
FY25 $145M
Net income
FY21 $100M
FY22 −$412M
FY23 $108M
FY24 −$463M
FY25 −$190M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HAOTF

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -155% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -90% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -52% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.06× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.50× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 49
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 68 · sector 69
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,129 $449.86 -60%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $84.80 $65.76 -22%
AerCap Holdings AER $150.25 $301.51 +101%
Ryder System, Inc R $262.96 $109.71 -58%
Ayvens AYV €11.68 €25.90 +122%
Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 R$34.71 R$37.01 +7%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$27.95 C$15.06 -46%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$74.40 HK$18.61 -75%
GATX Corporation GATX $177.56 $140.90 -21%
Avis Budget Group CAR $139.58 $158.11 +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group (HAOTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0047 versus a price of $0.0045, about +4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HAOTF?
Our model-based fair value for Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group is $0.0047 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0045.
What is the quality score of HAOTF?
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group (HAOTF)?
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $100M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HAOTF?
The net profit margin of Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group is about -155.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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