Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group (HAOTF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $49.9M
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0047). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band ($0.0047 to $0.0052), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range $0.0011 – $0.1651 · fair‑value band $0.0047 – $0.0052 · the $0.0045 price screens below the $0.0047 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group (HAOTF) currently trades at $0.0045, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0047, implying the stock looks roughly 4.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $100M. Revenue declined 52.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.5%. Net debt stands at $551M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0047 (bear case) to $0.0052 (bull case); at $0.0045, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 4%, HAOTF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the construction machinery business in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Cambodia, and Macau.
Full company description
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the construction machinery business in Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, the People's Republic of China, Malaysia, Cambodia, and Macau. It engages in the rental and trade of construction machinery and spare parts, including crawler cranes of different sizes, other mobile cranes, aerial platforms, and foundation equipment. The company also provides transportation services, such as local container delivery, construction site delivery, and heavy machinery transport, as well as repair and maintenance services. In addition, it provides financial services, including securities, futures trading, asset management, wealth management, financing, and precious metal business, as well as money lending services comprising mortgaged and personal loans. Further, the company holds properties for development. It primarily serves construction work companies. The company was founded in 1962 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hao Tian Management (China) Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hao Tian International Construction Investment Group reported revenue of $145M in FY2025 versus $220M in FY2021, a compound −9.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$190M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Rental & Leasing Services · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,129 | $449.86 | -60% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $84.80 | $65.76 | -22% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $150.25 | $301.51 | +101% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $262.96 | $109.71 | -58% |
| Ayvens AYV | €11.68 | €25.90 | +122% |
| Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 | R$34.71 | R$37.01 | +7% |
| Element Fleet Management Corp EFN | C$27.95 | C$15.06 | -46% |
| BOC Aviation Limited 2588 | HK$74.40 | HK$18.61 | -75% |
| GATX Corporation GATX | $177.56 | $140.90 | -21% |
| Avis Budget Group CAR | $139.58 | $158.11 | +13% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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