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Hermes (HERM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hermes C$7.03, price C$6.30, upside +11.6%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · CA · Home France · ISIN CA42751V1040

H Hermes logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Hermes

HERM · NEO

Undervalued, solidFair Value upside is positive and quality is strong.

✓Fair value C$7.03 · Undervalued (+11.6%)
✓Quality 77/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +11.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 28.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.0% dividend yield · Sustainable
✓Ranks above peers (11/13)
✓Wide moat 98/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 20 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 21 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$10.87 C$6.30 Fair Value C$7.03 Sep 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

13‑month range C$6.30 – C$10.87 · fair‑value band C$4.92 – C$9.72 · the C$6.30 price screens below the C$7.03 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hermès International engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of various goods.

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Hermès International engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of various goods. The company offers leather goods and saddlery, such as bags for men and women, travel articles, small leather goods and accessories, saddles, bridles, and various equestrian products and clothing; ready-to-wear garments for men and women; and accessories, including jewelry, belts, hats, gloves, internet of things products, and shoes. It also provides silk and textiles for men and women; art of living and tableware products; beauty and perfume products; and watches. In addition, the company is involved in weaving, engraving, printing, dyeing, finishing, and producing textiles; purchasing, tanning, dyeing, finishing, and selling tanneries and precious leathers; and creating and producing of metal parts. It sells its products through a network of stores in France, rest of Europe, Japan, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and the Middle East, as well as sells watches, perfumes, and tableware through a network of specialized stores. The company was founded in 1837 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Hermès International is a subsidiary of H51 SAS.

Stock analysis

Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) (HERM) currently trades at C$6.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$7.03, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$7.07 per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$6.30 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.9875, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: C$4.92 (bear) to C$9.72 (bull), the price of C$6.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) reported revenue of €16.0B in FY2025 versus €9.0B in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was €4.5B in FY2025, compounding +16.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap C$892M (≈ $626M) · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) C$69.79 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 28.3% · Return on equity 25.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 27.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 12%, HERM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$4.92 Fair Value C$7.03 Bull C$9.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$39.16 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF C$4.52 C$6.97 C$10.76 76
Growth DCF C$4.45 C$6.59 C$9.68 75
Owner Earnings C$4.58 C$7.07 C$10.94 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$4.52 C$6.97 C$10.76 76
Owner Earnings C$4.58 C$7.07 C$10.94 72
5Y Revenue Exit C$2.92 C$3.87 C$5.07 71
5Y EBITDA Exit C$5.36 C$8.94 C$13.47 71
5Y P/E Exit C$5.64 C$9.51 C$13.98 67
10Y Revenue Exit C$3.46 C$4.53 C$6.02 65
10Y EBITDA Exit C$4.98 C$7.94 C$12.49 64
10Y P/E Exit C$5.15 C$8.33 C$12.89 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$2.41 C$11.49 C$15.82 61
Lynch FV C$3.06 C$4.37 C$5.69 58
PEG = 1.0 C$3.06 C$4.37 C$5.69 55
EPV C$4.26 C$4.72 C$5.09 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$5.84 C$7.79 C$9.73 63
P/S Multiple C$1.13 C$1.50 C$1.88 58
P/B Multiple C$4.42 C$5.90 C$7.37 55
EV/EBIT C$8.02 C$10.38 C$12.74 66
EV/EBITDA C$6.32 C$8.11 C$9.90 67
EV/Revenue C$2.01 C$2.46 C$2.91 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.7369 C$0.9875 C$1.47 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$4.45 C$6.59 C$9.68 75
Rev-Margin DCF C$2.92 C$3.89 C$5.17 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$1.91 C$2.61 C$4.62 64
ROIC Compounder C$4.46 C$5.17 C$5.89 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$4.92 C$7.03 C$9.14 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 77/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 82
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 94/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 42%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 122 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +11.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 25.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.01× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)49 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)20 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 54
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)21 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 173.05 CHF 120.97 −30%
Christian Dior SE CDI €408.20 €552.53 +35%
Titan Company TITAN ₹4,884 ₹1,487 −70%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $113.88 $109.95 −3%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$10.97 HK$11.97 +9%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 35.70 CHF 21.74 −39%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$38.68 HK$62.43 +61%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 836.20 kr 1,424 +70%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$340.20 HK$372.96 +10%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.80 €34.95 −57%

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Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) · Fair Value
C$7.03 +10%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HERM

Frequently asked questions

Is Hermes (HERM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$7.03 versus a price of C$6.30, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HERM?
Our model-based fair value for Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is C$7.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$6.30.
What is the quality score of HERM?
Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hermes (HERM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$7.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$4.92, optimistic scenario C$9.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$7.03, about +12% upside versus a price of C$6.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$4.92, optimistic scenario C$9.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hermes (HERM)?
Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €16.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) pay a dividend?
Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hermes (HERM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) it is C$7.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$6.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HERM trades below its calculated fair value: price C$6.30, fair value C$7.03, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HERM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$6.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$7.03). For Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) the two are C$0.7330 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) worth?
The market values Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) at about C$892M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$6.30; our models calculate a fair value of C$7.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HERM?
Our models span a range for Hermes CDR (CAD hedged): cautious scenario C$4.92, base C$7.03, optimistic C$9.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$6.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HERM?
Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$7.03 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.0, P/S 0.0.
What is the PEG ratio of HERM?
The PEG ratio of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is 0.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hermes (HERM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 25.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HERM from its 52-week high?
Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) trades at C$6.30, about 42% below its 52-week high of C$10.87 and at the low of C$6.30 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$7.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hermes CDR (CAD hedged)?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$6.30, calculated fair value C$7.03 (+12%), Quality Score 77/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HERM calculated?
We run Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$7.03, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hermes (HERM)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$6.30. Our model-based fair value is C$7.03, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) right now?
A fairly wide model range (C$4.92 to C$9.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged)

How large is the market capitalisation of Hermes (HERM)?
The market capitalisation of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is C$892M (≈ $626M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hermes (HERM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hermes (HERM)?
Earnings per share at Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) are C$69.79 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hermes (HERM)?
The dividend yield of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is 1.0% (payout 0.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hermes (HERM)?
The net margin of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is 28.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hermes (HERM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is 25.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hermes (HERM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is 27.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hermes (HERM)?
The operating margin of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is 41.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hermes (HERM)?
Revenue at Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hermes (HERM)?
Earnings per share at Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) are growing +1.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hermes (HERM) generate?
The free cash flow of Hermes CDR (CAD hedged) is €4.2B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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