Hernö Gin AB (HERNO-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Market cap 138M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from kr 1.71 to kr 1.65 (−3.5%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range kr 2.91 – kr 4.87 · fair‑value band kr 1.16 – kr 2.15 · the kr 3.35 price screens above the kr 1.65 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Hernö Gin AB (HERNO-B) currently trades at kr 3.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.65, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 1.16 (bear case) to kr 2.15 (bull case); at kr 3.35, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -51%, HERNO-B screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Hernö Gin AB (publ) produces and sells gins in Sweden and internationally. The company offers various cocktails. It also operates bar and hotel under the Hernö Gin brand name. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Härnösand, Sweden.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hernö Gin AB reported revenue of kr 47.4M in FY2025 versus kr 37.1M in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was kr 4.4M in FY2025, compounding −16.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kweichow Moutai Co 600519 | ¥1,273 | ¥800.18 | -37% |
| Diageo plc DEOP34 | R$22.23 | R$11.02 | -50% |
| Wuliangye Yibin Co 000858 | ¥79.14 | ¥45.59 | -42% |
| Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co 600809 | ¥122.03 | ¥127.06 | +4% |
| Pernod Ricard SA RI | €63.06 | €59.41 | -6% |
| Luzhou Laojiao Co 000568 | ¥85.41 | ¥83.24 | -3% |
| Brown-Forman Corporation BFA | $26.85 | $18.51 | -31% |
| United Spirits Limited UNITDSPR | ₹1,260 | ₹397.89 | -68% |
| Thai Beverage Public Company TBVPF | $0.3358 | $0.5300 | +58% |
| Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co 002304 | ¥43.30 | ¥26.69 | -38% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.