Hf Foods Group Inc (HFFG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $101M · ISIN US40417F1093
What is Hf Foods Group Inc really worth?
Hf Foods Group Inc
HFFG · US
Below-average quality, trading 58% below our fair value of $4.31.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Share price +19.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($2.23 to $6.39). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.41 – $9.66 · fair‑value band $2.23 – $6.39 · the $1.79 price screens below the $4.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Hf Foods Group Inc (HFFG) currently trades at $1.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.31, implying the stock looks roughly 58.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 12 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hf Foods Group Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of −2.9%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −16.4%. Net debt stands at $214M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.23 (bear case) to $6.39 (bull case); at $1.79, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 141%, HFFG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($2.53) versus Growth DCF ($0.0800). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
HF Foods Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a marketer and distributor of specialty food products, seafood, fresh produce, frozen and dry food, and non-food products to Asian restaurants and other foodservice customers in the United States.
Full company description
HF Foods Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a marketer and distributor of specialty food products, seafood, fresh produce, frozen and dry food, and non-food products to Asian restaurants and other foodservice customers in the United States. It offers lobster, shrimp, crab, and scallops; fish products, such as tuna and Alaskan salmon; specialty noodles, rice specialty sauces/seasonings, and spring rolls; dry goods, including dried mushrooms and beans; and canned products comprising preserved vegetables, bamboo shoots, and water chestnuts. The company also provides meat and poultry products comprising beef, pork, chicken, and duck; seasonal fruits and vegetables, including celery, napa cabbage, and winter melon; take-out accessories, such as bamboo chopsticks, takeout containers, plastic cups, and sushi combo boxes; and general commodities consisting of oil, flour, salt, and sugar. HF Foods Group Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hf Foods Group Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $797M in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$38.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.94 | $59.83 | −27% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $107.78 | $53.53 | −50% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.25 | $37.94 | −65% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €18.00 | €21.59 | +20% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | −66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.34 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +58% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $47.98 | $6.00 | −87% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $64.56 | $47.78 | −26% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | −79% |
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