HF Foods Group (HFFG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $101M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $20.78 to $4.31 (−79.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.41 – $3.71 · fair‑value band $2.23 – $6.39 · the $1.65 price screens below the $4.31 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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HF Foods Group (HFFG) currently trades at $1.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.31, implying the stock looks roughly 161.2% undervalued today. We read business quality at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, HF Foods Group generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -2.9%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.4%. Net debt stands at $214M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.23 (bear case) to $6.39 (bull case); at $1.65, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at 161%, HFFG screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
HF Foods Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a marketer and distributor of specialty food products, seafood, fresh produce, frozen and dry food, and non-food products to Asian restaurants and other foodservice customers in the United States. It offers lobster, shrimp, crab, and scallops; fish products, such as tuna and Alaskan salmon; specialty noodles, rice specialty sauces/seasonings, and spring rolls; dry goods, including dried mushrooms and beans; and canned products comprising preserved vegetables, bamboo shoots, and water chestnuts. The company also provides meat and poultry products comprising beef, pork, chicken, and duck; seasonal fruits and vegetables, including celery, napa cabbage, and winter melon; take-out accessories, such as bamboo chopsticks, takeout containers, plastic cups, and sushi combo boxes; and general commodities consisting of oil, flour, salt, and sugar. HF Foods Group Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HF Foods Group reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $797M in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$38.8M in FY2025.
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10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $77.98 | $60.42 | -23% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $84.61 | $44.60 | -47% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $100.74 | $42.91 | -57% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JRONF | $23.70 | $24.02 | +1% |
| Bunzl plc BZLFY | $16.36 | $19.41 | +19% |
| Bid Corporation BPPPF | $25.49 | $17.09 | -33% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 16.69 THB | +13% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $77.54 | $23.67 | -69% |
| Olam Group OLGPF | $0.9970 | $1.45 | +45% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $74.24 | $24.49 | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.