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Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹1.2B

HM Hilton Metal Forging Limited HILTON · NSE
Price₹22.46
Fair Value₹14.06
Upside-37.4%
Quality31/100
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Evidence: High Range ₹10.55 – ₹17.58

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +15.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹67.27 ₹14.32 Fair Value ₹14.06 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ₹14.32 – ₹67.27 · fair‑value band ₹10.55 – ₹17.58 · the ₹22.46 price screens above the ₹14.06 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON) currently trades at ₹22.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹14.06 — implying the stock looks roughly 37.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hilton Metal Forging Limited generated revenue of ₹2.3B at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at ₹430M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹2.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.8%
Net margin 1.5%
Return on equity 2.6%
Free cash flow −₹208M FY2026
P/E ratio 23.9
More key figures
Operating margin 3.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.9400
EPS growth (YoY) -97.9%
Net debt ₹430M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Hilton Metal Forging Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel forgings for railways, oil and gas, refinery, and pharmaceutical industries in India. The company offers stainless steel, high pressure, threaded, blind, weld neck, and socket welded flanges; railway wheel forgings; and forged and hydraulic fittings. It also provides engineered parts; crank shafts; body bonnets; stub ends; forged components; top deck covers; and Christmas tree components. The company also exports its products. Hilton Metal Forging Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hilton Metal Forging Limited reported revenue of ₹2.3B in FY2026 versus ₹838M in FY2022, a compound +28.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹34.5M in FY2026, compounding +18.3%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +28.8%/yr
FY22 ₹838M
FY23 ₹1.0B
FY24 ₹1.4B
FY25 ₹1.6B
FY26 ₹2.3B
Net income +18.3%/yr
FY22 ₹17.6M
FY23 ₹58.6M
FY24 ₹66.9M
FY25 ₹61.8M
FY26 ₹34.5M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹14.06 versus a price of ₹22.46 — about −37% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HILTON?
Our model-based fair value for Hilton Metal Forging Limited is ₹14.06 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹22.46.
What is the quality score of HILTON?
Hilton Metal Forging Limited has a Quality Score of 31/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Hilton Metal Forging Limited (HILTON)?
Hilton Metal Forging Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HILTON?
The net profit margin of Hilton Metal Forging Limited is about 1.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.