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Hill Incorporated (HSEEF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $45.8K

HI Hill Incorporated logo Hill Incorporated HSEEF · US
Price$0.0110
Fair Value$0.0109
Upside-0.9%
Quality29/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -55.8% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0109 – $0.0109 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.12 $0.0110 Fair Value $0.0109 Aug 2018 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0110 – $28.12 · the $0.0110 price screens above the $0.0109 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hill Incorporated (HSEEF) currently trades at $0.0110, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0109, implying the stock looks roughly 0.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hill Incorporated generated revenue of $2.3M at a net margin of -55.8%. Revenue grew 29.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $2.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -1%, HSEEF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.3%
Net margin -55.8%
Return on equity -1,814%
Free cash flow −$1.1M FY2024
Operating margin -21.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3000
Net debt $2.6M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 18
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hill Incorporated sells alcohol free beverages in Canada and the United States. It operates through two segments: The Sale of Beverages and Licensing. The company is involved in the biodelivery technology licensing activities. It offers its products through retail stores and distributors, as well as online channels.

Full company description

Hill Incorporated sells alcohol free beverages in Canada and the United States. It operates through two segments: The Sale of Beverages and Licensing. The company is involved in the biodelivery technology licensing activities. It offers its products through retail stores and distributors, as well as online channels. The company was formerly known as Hill Street Beverage Company Inc. and changed its name to Hill Incorporated in May 2023. Hill Incorporated is based in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Hill Incorporated reported revenue of $2.2M in FY2024 versus $1.7M in FY2020, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.6M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$2.2M
Latest YoY
−23.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY20 $1.7M
FY21 $2.2M
FY22 $3.2M
FY23 $2.9M
FY24 $2.2M
Net income
FY20 −$3.7M
FY21 −$3.1M
FY22 −$2.6M
FY23 −$2.1M
FY24 −$1.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hill Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HSEEF

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 92 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on assets -17% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -56% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -22% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 37.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 27
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 0 · sector 48
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.05 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.02 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hill Incorporated (HSEEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0109 versus a price of $0.0110, about −1% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HSEEF?
Our model-based fair value for Hill Incorporated is $0.0109 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0110.
What is the quality score of HSEEF?
Hill Incorporated has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hill Incorporated (HSEEF)?
Hill Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HSEEF?
The net profit margin of Hill Incorporated is about -55.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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