Hexcel Corporation (HXL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Hexcel Corporation $26.45, price $86.12, upside -69.3%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Hexcel Corporation
HXL · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $46.00 – $110.28 · fair‑value band $18.49 – $36.12 · the $86.12 price screens above the $26.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Hexcel Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets advanced lightweight composites technology. It operates through two segments, Composite Materials and Engineered Products.
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Hexcel Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets advanced lightweight composites technology. It operates through two segments, Composite Materials and Engineered Products. The company offers carbon fiber, reinforcements, prepregs and other fiber-reinforced matrix materials, honeycomb, resins, engineered core and composite structures for use in commercial aerospace, defense and space, and industrial applications. The Composite Materials segment manufactures and markets carbon fibers, fabrics, multi-axials, specialty reinforcements, prepregs and other fiber-reinforced matrix materials, structural adhesives, honeycomb, molding compounds, tooling materials, polyurethane systems, and laminates that are used in military aircraft, transportation, recreational products, and other industrial applications. The Engineered Products segment manufactures and markets aircraft structures and finished aircraft components, including wing to body fairings, wing panels, flight deck panels, door liners, rotorcraft blades, spars, and tip caps; and aircraft structural sub-components and semi-finished components used in rotorcraft blades, engine nacelles, and aircraft surfaces, such as flaps, wings, elevators, and fairings; and RF interference control products for military and aerospace applications. This segment also provides interference control materials, structural composites, and services; dielectric absorber foams; magnetic absorbers; and thermoplastics for commercial and defense applications. The company sells its products directly through its marketing managers, product managers, and sales personnel, as well as through independent distributors in the Americas, Europe, the Asia Pacific, India, and Africa. Hexcel Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
Stock analysis
Hexcel Corporation (HXL) currently trades at $86.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.45, implying the stock looks roughly 225.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $34.60 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $86.12 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.15, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $18.49 (bear) to $36.12 (bull), the price of $86.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hexcel Corporation reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was $109M in FY2025, compounding +61.5%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $7.5B · P/E ratio 57.0 · P/S ratio 3.29 · EPS (TTM) $1.51 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −69%, HXL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
HXL screens 226% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Recent news
- Hexcel to Showcase Advanced Composite Innovations for Aerospace, Defense and Space at CAMX 2026
- 2 Reasons to Like HXL and 1 to Stay Skeptical
- Carbon Fiber Market Forecasts Growth from $6.41B (2026) to $9.07B by 2031, Profiling Hexcel, Kureha, Zhongfu Shenying, Syensqo & 27 Othe
Compare Hexcel Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $319.22 | $92.68 | −71% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $190.99 | $88.37 | −54% |
| Airbus SE AIR | €194.60 | €112.75 | −42% |
| Safran SA SAF | €332.00 | €365.20 | +10% |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT | $522.34 | $440.05 | −16% |
| Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM | $225.36 | $52.47 | −77% |
| General Dynamics Corporation GD | $343.39 | $274.32 | −20% |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC | $509.86 | $383.06 | −25% |
| TransDigm Group TDG | $1,112 | $1,224 | +10% |
| L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX | $239.89 | $263.88 | +10% |
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Key figures of Hexcel Corporation
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