Ichitan Group (ICHI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 19.0B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 17.58 THB to 17.48 THB (−0.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (10.74 THB to 22.52 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from 10.74 THB (bear) to 22.52 THB (bull), base 17.48 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 5.49 THB – 15.67 THB · fair‑value band 10.74 THB – 22.52 THB · the 15.00 THB price screens below the 17.48 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Ichitan Group (ICHI) currently trades at 15.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.48 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 16.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ichitan Group generated revenue of 7.4B THB at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 11.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 74.0M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 10.74 THB (bear case) to 22.52 THB (bull case); at 15.00 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 17%, ICHI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (17.58 THB) versus Asset-Based (2.91 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ichitan Group Public Company Limited, engages in the manufacture and sale of beverages in Thailand and internationally. The company offers ready-to-drink green tea under the ICHITAN green tea brand; herbal tea drink under the Yen Yen brand; and Shizuoka Green Tea No Sugar, Shizuoka Green Tea Jasmine No Sugar, and Shizuoka Green Tea Jasmine Mildly Sweet.
Full company description
Ichitan Group Public Company Limited, engages in the manufacture and sale of beverages in Thailand and internationally. The company offers ready-to-drink green tea under the ICHITAN green tea brand; herbal tea drink under the Yen Yen brand; and Shizuoka Green Tea No Sugar, Shizuoka Green Tea Jasmine No Sugar, and Shizuoka Green Tea Jasmine Mildly Sweet. It also provides Ichitan PH Plus Alkaline Water; carbonated drink under the TANSANSU brand; and Tan Power products. The company was formerly known as Mai Tan Company Limited. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ichitan Group reported revenue of 8.1B THB in FY2025 versus 5.2B THB in FY2021, a compound +11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B THB in FY2025, compounding +24.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $87.05 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.02 | $106.91 | -23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥124.43 | ¥107.57 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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