Intrepid Potash, Inc (IPI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $463M
Intrepid Potash, Inc
IPI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $20.98 to $14.16 (−32.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.58 – $119.50 · fair‑value band $10.62 – $17.69 · the $34.85 price screens above the $14.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Intrepid Potash, Inc (IPI) currently trades at $34.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.16, implying the stock looks roughly 59.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Intrepid Potash, Inc generated revenue of $242M at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue grew 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $80.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.62 (bear case) to $17.69 (bull case); at $34.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -59%, IPI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($24.51) versus Dividend Discount ($0.5100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions.
Full company description
Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in animal feed market as a nutrient supplement, in industrial market as a component in drilling and fracturing fluids, as well as input to other industrial processes. It also provides Trio, a specialty fertilizer that delivers potassium, sulfate, and magnesium in a single particle; salt for various markets, including animal feed, industrial applications, pool salt, and the treatment of roads and walkways for ice melting or to manage road conditions; magnesium chloride for use as a road treatment agent for deicing and dedusting; brines for use in oil and gas industry to support well workover and completion activities; and metal recovery salts. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Intrepid Potash, Inc reported revenue of $298M in FY2025 versus $270M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $11.2M in FY2025, compounding −54.0%/yr from FY2021.
IPI screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Are Basic Materials Stocks Lagging Intrepid Potash (IPI) This Year?
- Intrepid Potash Announces Appointment of Jason Tremblay as Chief Financial Officer
- Intrepid Potash Increases Share Repurchase Authorization to $50M
- Intrepid Potash expands share repurchase authorization to $50M
Peer Group
Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corteva, Inc CTVA | $86.07 | $27.81 | -68% |
| Nutrien Ltd NTR | C$94.23 | C$81.69 | -13% |
| Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 | ¥24.93 | ¥21.26 | -15% |
| CF Industries Holdings CF | $119.19 | $161.00 | +35% |
| SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 | 122.90 SAR | 127.31 SAR | +4% |
| Yara International ASA YAR | kr 451.30 | kr 67.25 | -85% |
| Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 | ¥30.17 | ¥42.12 | +40% |
| Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 | ¥42.59 | ¥38.01 | -11% |
| Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL | ₹2,034 | ₹1,129 | -44% |
| UPL Limited UPL | ₹594.75 | ₹387.06 | -35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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