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iQIYI, Inc (IQ) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $984M

II iQIYI, Inc logo iQIYI, Inc IQ · US
Price$1.33
Fair Value$1.81
Upside+36.3%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: High Range $0.9365 – $2.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 36 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from $12.93 to $1.81 (−86.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +26.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.9365 to $2.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.89 $0.9612 Fair Value $1.81 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9612 – $15.89 · fair‑value band $0.9365 – $2.69 · the $1.33 price screens below the $1.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

iQIYI, Inc (IQ) currently trades at $1.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.81, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, iQIYI, Inc generated revenue of $26.3B at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue declined 13.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.1%. Net debt stands at $11.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.9365 (bear case) to $2.69 (bull case); at $1.33, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at 36%, IQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0088 $0.0148 $0.0211 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0088 $0.0126 $0.0162 61
EV/EBITDA $1.97 $2.66 $3.35 54
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $1.88 $2.61 $3.52 31
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.9647 $1.81 $2.78 41
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.5114 $1.09 $1.84 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0088 $0.0148 $0.0211 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0088 $0.0126 $0.0162 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $1.97 $2.66 $3.35 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1175 $0.1574 $0.2349 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.66) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0126). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $26.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.4%
Net margin -2.6%
Return on equity -5.1%
Free cash flow $9.7M FY2025
Operating margin -3.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1000
EPS growth (YoY) -72.3%
Net debt $11.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a platform that provides a collection of internet video content, such as professionally produced content licensed from professional content providers and self-produced content.

Full company description

iQIYI, Inc. provides online entertainment video services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a platform that provides a collection of internet video content, such as professionally produced content licensed from professional content providers and self-produced content. It also engages in the production, aggregation, and distribution of online long-form videos, micro dramas, micro animations, micro variety shows, edited video clips, and video blogs; and provision of experience services, online mobile games, comics, and others. In addition, the company provides membership, online brand and performance-based advertising, and content distribution services. Further, it is involved in the talent agency and IP licensing activities. The company was formerly known as Qiyi.com, Inc. and changed its name to iQIYI, Inc. in November 2017. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. iQIYI, Inc. is a subsidiary of Baidu Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

iQIYI, Inc reported revenue of $27.3B in FY2025 versus $30.6B in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$206M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$27.3B
Latest YoY
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.8%
Revenue −2.8%/yr
FY21 $30.6B
FY22 $29.0B
FY23 $31.9B
FY24 $29.2B
FY25 $27.3B
Net income
FY21 −$6.2B
FY22 −$136M
FY23 $1.9B
FY24 $764M
FY25 −$206M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "iQIYI, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IQ

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +36% · Top 25%
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Below median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.76× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 101.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 81 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 62 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is iQIYI, Inc (IQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.81 versus a price of $1.33, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IQ?
Our model-based fair value for iQIYI, Inc is $1.81 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.33.
What is the quality score of IQ?
iQIYI, Inc has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of iQIYI, Inc (IQ)?
iQIYI, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $26.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IQ?
The net profit margin of iQIYI, Inc is about -2.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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