IVU Traffic Technologies AG (IVU) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · DE · Market cap €368M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €16.94 to €16.98 (+0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€21.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €11.26 – €24.50 · fair‑value band €12.73 – €21.22 · the €24.50 price screens above the €16.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
IVU Traffic Technologies AG (IVU) currently trades at €24.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €16.98, implying the stock looks roughly 30.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, IVU Traffic Technologies AG generated revenue of €151M at a net margin of 8.8%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €24.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €12.73 (bear case) to €21.22 (bull case); at €24.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -31%, IVU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€23.78) versus Dividend Discount (€3.60). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IVU Traffic Technologies AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, installs, maintains, and operates integrated IT solutions for buses and trains worldwide.
Full company description
IVU Traffic Technologies AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, installs, maintains, and operates integrated IT solutions for buses and trains worldwide. The company offers IVU.suite, which provides service and resource planning, resource dispatching, fleet management, ticketing and on-board devices, information and analytics, and controlling services. It also provides IVU.consult consulting services; IVU.solutions that offer customized IT solutions; IVU.integration, which connects peripheral systems; IVU.xpress implementation process services; IVU.cloud, which enables full technical operations management for IVU.suite; and IVU.service that provides support services. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
IVU Traffic Technologies AG reported revenue of €150M in FY2025 versus €104M in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was €13.3M in FY2025, compounding +9.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.6 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
IVU screens 31% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- IVU Traffic Technologies AG Gains Momentum: Higher Profitability, Greater Transparency, Closer Dialogue With the Capital Market
- IVU Traffic Technologies AG (ETR:IVU) Looks Interesting, And It's About To Pay A Dividend
- How Does IVU Traffic Technologies's (ETR:IVU) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After Its Big Share Price Gain?
Peer Group
Software - Application · 708 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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