Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi TRY 11.22, price TRY 6.97, upside +61.0%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.97 TRY – 14.38 TRY · fair‑value band 9.16 TRY – 13.57 TRY · the 6.97 TRY price screens below the 11.22 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, and sale of iron and steel in Turkey and internationally. It operates through three segments: Iron and Steel Operations; Port Operations; and Energy Operations.
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Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, marketing, and sale of iron and steel in Turkey and internationally. It operates through three segments: Iron and Steel Operations; Port Operations; and Energy Operations. It is also involved in energy production and trading, and provision of transportation and port management services. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Izmir, Turkey. Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Sahin Koc Celik Sanayi A.S.
Stock analysis
Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, (IZMDC) currently trades at 6.97 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.22 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 23.75 TRY per share, and 9 of the 11 models we run sit above the 6.97 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7.96 TRY, and 2 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 9.16 TRY (bear) to 13.57 TRY (bull), the price of 6.97 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, reported revenue of 63.6B TRL in FY2025 versus 10.8B TRL in FY2021, a compound +55.7%/yr. Reported net income was −1.9B TRL in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 20.5B TRY (≈ $418M) · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) −1.14 TRY · Net margin −3.0% · Return on equity −6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1% · Operating margin −4.6% · Revenue (TTM) 60.6B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 61%, IZMDC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 9.16 TRYFair Value 11.22 TRYBull 13.57 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+64.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +40.8% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−25.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.1% (2019) → 0.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.7% a year for the price.
Compare Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 413 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+61.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−4.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IZMDC
Frequently asked questions
Is Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.22 TRY versus a price of 6.97 TRY, about +61% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IZMDC?
Our model-based fair value for Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is 11.22 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.97 TRY.
What is the quality score of IZMDC?
Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.22 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.16 TRY, optimistic scenario 13.57 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.22 TRY, about +61% upside versus a price of 6.97 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 9.16 TRY, optimistic scenario 13.57 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 60.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, would have to grow free cash flow by +32.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +64.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IZMDC use?
Our models discount Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, at 14.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.73, country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, that is +32.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, grew +64.9 % a year. The price currently implies +32.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, (+32.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.38 %: that much free cash flow Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, it is 11.22 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 6.97 TRY. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IZMDC trades below its calculated fair value: price 6.97 TRY, fair value 11.22 TRY, a gap of about +61% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IZMDC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.97 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.22 TRY). For Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, the two are 4.25 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, worth?
The market values Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, at about 20.5B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 6.97 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 11.22 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IZMDC?
Our models span a range for Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi,: cautious scenario 9.16 TRY, base 11.22 TRY, optimistic 13.57 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 6.97 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.0%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IZMDC from its 52-week high?
Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, trades at 6.97 TRY, about 52% below its 52-week high of 14.38 TRY and 18% above the low of 5.90 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.22 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi,?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 6.97 TRY, calculated fair value 11.22 TRY (+61%), Quality Score 35/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IZMDC calculated?
We run Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.22 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 6.97 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 11.22 TRY, about +61% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (35/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (9.16 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi,
How large is the market capitalisation of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
The market capitalisation of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is 20.5B TRY (≈ $418M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is 0.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
Earnings per share at Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, are −1.14 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
The net margin of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is −3.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is −6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
The operating margin of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
Revenue at Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is growing −16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +37.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC)?
Earnings per share at Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, are growing −54.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (IZMDC) carry?
The net debt of Izmir Demir Çelik Sanayi Anonim Sirketi, is 23.5B TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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