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PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk (JGLE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 1.1T IDR

PG PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk JGLE · JK
Price95.00 IDR
Fair Value7.62 IDR
Upside-92.0%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -24.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/9)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range 2.94 IDR – 12.29 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 6.99 IDR to 7.62 IDR (+9.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +90.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 92% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.29 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (2.94 IDR to 12.29 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

100.00 IDR 4.00 IDR Fair Value 7.62 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.00 IDR – 100.00 IDR · fair‑value band 2.94 IDR – 12.29 IDR · the 95.00 IDR price screens above the 7.62 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk (JGLE) currently trades at 95.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.62 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 92.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk generated revenue of 156B IDR at a net margin of -24.9%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.6%. Net debt stands at 250B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.94 IDR (bear case) to 12.29 IDR (bull case); at 95.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -92%, JGLE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA 9.02 IDR 13.69 IDR 18.37 IDR 54
EV/EBIT 4.91 IDR 8.21 IDR 11.51 IDR 53
NCAV (Graham) 24.09 IDR 32.28 IDR 48.18 IDR 50
All 4 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT 4.91 IDR 8.21 IDR 11.51 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 9.02 IDR 13.69 IDR 18.37 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 0.7900 IDR 3.27 IDR 5.75 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 24.09 IDR 32.28 IDR 48.18 IDR 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (32.28 IDR) versus Multiples (8.21 IDR). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 156B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net margin -24.9%
Return on equity -3.6%
Free cash flow −6.5B IDR FY2025
Operating margin -18.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.73 IDR
Net debt 250B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 34
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk engages in the development and management of recreational parks in Indonesia. It operates through four divisions: Hotel and Condotel, Real Estate, Recreation Park, and Others.

Full company description

PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk engages in the development and management of recreational parks in Indonesia. It operates through four divisions: Hotel and Condotel, Real Estate, Recreation Park, and Others. The company manages Jungle recreation park, such as The Jungle Waterpark, Jungle Sea, and Rivera Outbound & Edutainment, as well as Aston Bogor hotel and resort. It also sells houses and strata title apartments. PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk was founded in 1988 and is based in Bogor, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk reported revenue of 156B IDR in FY2025 versus 86.8B IDR in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was −46.4B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
156B IDR
Latest YoY
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.2%
Revenue +15.7%/yr
FY21 86.8B IDR
FY22 192B IDR
FY23 155B IDR
FY24 166B IDR
FY25 156B IDR
Net income
FY21 −102B IDR
FY22 −1.4T IDR
FY23 −41.5B IDR
FY24 −26.7B IDR
FY25 −46.4B IDR

JGLE screens 92% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JGLE

Peer Group

Leisure · 190 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −92% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 13 · sector 18
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 HK$74.15 HK$119.29 +61%
Pop Mart International Group 9992 HK$160.20 HK$227.30 +42%
Amer Sports, Inc AS $36.44 $16.16 -56%
Hasbro, Inc HAS $81.55 $83.38 +2%
Life Time Group LTH $42.15 $16.15 -62%
Acushnet Holdings GOLF $114.78 $37.79 -67%
Li Ning Company 2331 HK$14.80 HK$29.26 +98%
Benefit Systems S.A BFT 5,255 PLN 3,714 PLN -29%
Ninebot Limited 689009 ¥37.82 ¥39.17 +4%
Asmodee Group ASMDEEB kr 145.70 kr 41.90 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk (JGLE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.62 IDR versus a price of 95.00 IDR, about −92% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JGLE?
Our model-based fair value for PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk is 7.62 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 95.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of JGLE?
PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk (JGLE)?
PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 156B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JGLE?
The net profit margin of PT Graha Andrasentra Propertindo Tbk is about -24.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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