Kaival Brands Innovations Group (KAVL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $527K
Kaival Brands Innovations Group
KAVL · US
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 17% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0140 – $327.60 · the $0.0269 price screens above the $0.0224 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Kaival Brands Innovations Group (KAVL) currently trades at $0.0269, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0224, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $365K. Revenue declined 20.2% year over year. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -17%, KAVL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kaival Brands Innovations Group, Inc. sells, markets, and distributes electronic nicotine delivery system (ENDS) products and related components in the United States. The company is based in Grant-Valkaria, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kaival Brands Innovations Group reported revenue of $46.8K in FY2025 versus $58.8M in FY2021, a compound −83.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.7M in FY2025.
KAVL screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Philip Morris International Inc →
Peer Group
Tobacco · 36 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tobacco stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Morris International Inc PM | $186.19 | $103.71 | -44% |
| British American Tobacco p.l.c. BTI | $55.84 | $61.07 | +9% |
| Altria Group MO | $64.38 | $81.81 | +27% |
| KT&G Corporation 033780 | 177,400 KRW | 110,656 KRW | -38% |
| PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, HMSP | 730.00 IDR | 1,041 IDR | +43% |
| Smoore International Holdings 6969 | HK$8.76 | HK$4.19 | -52% |
| Godfrey Phillips India Limited GODFRYPHLP | ₹2,160 | ₹1,194 | -45% |
| PT Gudang Garam Tbk, GGRM | 19,575 IDR | 16,988 IDR | -13% |
| TABAK TABAK | 18,700 CZK | 23,215 CZK | +24% |
| China Tobacco International (HK) Company 6055 | HK$22.82 | HK$24.09 | +6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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