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KB Home (KBH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.5B

KH KB Home logo KB Home KBH · US
Price$58.59
Fair Value$82.48
Upside+40.8%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.76% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/15)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range $54.99 – $132.52 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $79.90 to $82.48 (+3.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 41% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($54.99 to $132.52) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$87.06 $23.97 Fair Value $82.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.97 – $87.06 · fair‑value band $54.99 – $132.52 · the $58.59 price screens below the $82.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

KB Home (KBH) currently trades at $58.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $82.48, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, KB Home generated revenue of $5.9B at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue declined 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $54.99 (bear case) to $132.52 (bull case); at $58.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 41%, KBH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $28.43 $52.99 $87.05 80
Residual Income $56.38 $63.60 $112.77 76
Rev-Margin DCF $42.41 $86.56 $137.70 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.82 $55.98 $97.73 38
Owner Earnings $50.52 $91.04 $151.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $42.41 $87.06 $144.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $41.87 $86.04 $137.93 41
5Y P/E Exit $60.61 $121.42 $185.99 38
10Y Revenue Exit $34.13 $73.10 $126.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $36.09 $72.41 $121.52 37
10Y P/E Exit $47.81 $96.53 $157.67 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $47.56 $154.68 $206.61 54
Lynch FV $34.56 $49.38 $64.19 50
PEG = 1.0 $34.56 $49.38 $64.19 46
EPV $35.43 $44.80 $52.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.82 $19.57 $29.64 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.82 $16.28 $20.66 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $115.40 $153.86 $192.33 63
P/S Multiple $89.17 $118.89 $148.62 58
P/B Multiple $89.17 $118.89 $148.62 55
EV/EBIT $91.80 $130.35 $168.91 53
EV/EBITDA $58.73 $86.25 $113.78 54
EV/Revenue $54.11 $87.52 $120.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $31.81 $42.63 $63.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $28.43 $52.99 $87.05 80
Rev-Margin DCF $42.41 $86.56 $137.70 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $56.38 $63.60 $112.77 76
ROIC Compounder $35.43 $44.80 $52.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $96.41 $137.73 $179.04 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($137.73) versus Dividend Discount ($16.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -27.3%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 7.0%
Free cash flow $290M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) $4.11
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -71.2%
Net debt $1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KB Home operates as a homebuilding company in the United States. It builds and sells homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers.

Full company description

KB Home operates as a homebuilding company in the United States. It builds and sells homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. The company also provides financial services, such as mortgage banking services, such as residential consumer mortgage loan originations to homebuyers; property and casualty insurance services, as well as earthquake, flood, and personal property insurance products to homebuyers; and title services. It conducts operations in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Idaho, Nevada, North Carolina, Texas, and Washington. The company was formerly known as Kaufman and Broad Home Corporation and changed its name to KB Home in January 2001. KB Home was founded in 1957 and is based in Los Angeles, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KB Home reported revenue of $6.2B in FY2025 versus $5.7B in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was $429M in FY2025, compounding −6.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.2B
Latest YoY
−10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+7.4%
Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY21 $5.7B
FY22 $6.9B
FY23 $6.4B
FY24 $6.9B
FY25 $6.2B
Net income −6.7%/yr
FY21 $565M
FY22 $817M
FY23 $590M
FY24 $655M
FY25 $429M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KB Home Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KBH

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Residential Construction · 65 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +41% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -27% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Residential Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 5.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 88 · sector 51
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 28 · sector 33
HEALTH 78 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 54

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Residential Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
D.R. Horton, Inc DHI $149.39 $214.93 +44%
PulteGroup, Inc PHM $124.75 $193.56 +55%
Lennar Corporation LEN $83.89 $146.58 +75%
NVR, Inc NVR $6,479 $7,821 +21%
Toll Brothers, Inc TOL $150.76 $225.76 +50%
Taylor Morrison Home Corporation TMHC $72.13 $144.47 +100%
Installed Building Products, Inc IBP $228.65 $209.51 -8%
Meritage Homes Corporation MTH $73.83 $104.26 +41%
Champion Homes, Inc SKY $82.70 $75.12 -9%
Cavco Industries, Inc CVCO $569.16 $421.10 -26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KB Home (KBH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $82.48 versus a price of $58.59, about +41% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KBH?
Our model-based fair value for KB Home is $82.48 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $58.59.
What is the quality score of KBH?
KB Home has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KB Home (KBH)?
KB Home reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KBH?
The net profit margin of KB Home is about 6.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KB Home pay a dividend?
KB Home currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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