KDDL Limited (KDDL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of KDDL Limited ₹1,576, price ₹3,911, upside -59.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹315.85 – ₹4,252 · fair‑value band ₹1,030 – ₹1,970 · the ₹3,911 price screens above the ₹1,576 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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KDDL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing and sale of watch dials and hands, precision engineering components, and press tools. It operates through Precision and Watch Components; Watch, Accessories and Other Luxury Items and Related Services; and Other segments.
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KDDL Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing and sale of watch dials and hands, precision engineering components, and press tools. It operates through Precision and Watch Components; Watch, Accessories and Other Luxury Items and Related Services; and Other segments. The company operates retail stores of watches; retails and trades in luxury watches and accessories, and other luxury items, as well as provides related after-sales services; manufactures and distributes packaging boxes, bracelets, indexes, appliques, watch and precision-stamped components, and progressive tools. It serves electrical and electronics, automotive, consumer durables, industrial engineering, aerospace and defence, and alternate and renewable energy industries. It operates in India, Switzerland, Germany, the United Kingdom, the United States, France, Portugal, the Czech Republic, China, and internationally. KDDL Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Chandigarh, India.
Stock analysis
KDDL Limited (KDDL) currently trades at ₹3,911, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,576, 59.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹2,559 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ₹3,911 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹255.79, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹1,030 (bear) to ₹1,970 (bull), the price of ₹3,911 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
KDDL Limited reported revenue of ₹21.5B in FY2026 versus ₹8.1B in FY2022, a compound +27.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹881M in FY2026, compounding +28.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹48.1B (≈ $500M) · P/E ratio 49.6 · P/S ratio 2.03 · EPS (TTM) ₹78.90 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −60%, KDDL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1,030Fair Value ₹1,576Bull ₹1,970
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹30.01 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+30.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+35.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.34.7% vs 29.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+77.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +70.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 122 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−59.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.1% · Below median
Return on assets4.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)9.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth36.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)49.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.45× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.07× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF377.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA11.9× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 47
PAST (return on equity)32· sector 54
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 56
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KDDL Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KDDL
Frequently asked questions
Is KDDL Limited (KDDL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,576 versus a price of ₹3,911, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KDDL?
Our model-based fair value for KDDL Limited is ₹1,576 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3,911.
What is the quality score of KDDL?
KDDL Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,576 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,030, optimistic scenario ₹1,970. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KDDL Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,576, about −60% upside versus a price of ₹3,911 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,030, optimistic scenario ₹1,970. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
KDDL Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹23.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does KDDL Limited pay a dividend?
KDDL Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, KDDL Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +77.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +31.8 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KDDL use?
Our models discount KDDL Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For KDDL Limited that is +77.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has KDDL Limited (KDDL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at KDDL Limited grew +31.8 % a year. The price currently implies +77.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of KDDL Limited (KDDL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into KDDL Limited (+77.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.27 %: that much free cash flow KDDL Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KDDL Limited it is ₹1,576 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹3,911. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KDDL Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, KDDL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹3,911, fair value ₹1,576, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KDDL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹3,911); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,576). For KDDL Limited the two are ₹2,335 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KDDL Limited worth?
The market values KDDL Limited at about ₹48.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹3,911; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,576 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KDDL?
Our models span a range for KDDL Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,030, base ₹1,576, optimistic ₹1,970 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹3,911). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KDDL?
KDDL Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.6 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,576 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.5, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 11.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
Balance-sheet figures for KDDL Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 8.1%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KDDL from its 52-week high?
KDDL Limited trades at ₹3,911, about 8% below its 52-week high of ₹4,252 and 93% above the low of ₹2,026 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,576 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KDDL Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KDDL Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹3,911, calculated fair value ₹1,576 (−60%), Quality Score 49/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KDDL calculated?
We run KDDL Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,576, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. KDDL Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹3,911. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,576, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KDDL Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,970). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹1,030 to ₹1,970) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of KDDL Limited (KDDL) come from?
Earnings per share at KDDL Limited grew +34.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.6 %, EBIT margin +17.7 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of KDDL Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The market capitalisation of KDDL Limited is ₹48.1B (≈ $500M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KDDL Limited is 2.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
Earnings per share at KDDL Limited are ₹78.90 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The dividend yield of KDDL Limited is 0.5% (payout 25.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The net margin of KDDL Limited is 4.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KDDL Limited is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KDDL Limited is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
The operating margin of KDDL Limited is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
Revenue at KDDL Limited is growing +36.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KDDL Limited (KDDL)?
Earnings per share at KDDL Limited are growing +43.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does KDDL Limited (KDDL) hold?
KDDL Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹2.2B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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