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KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. ₹4,578, price ₹13,873, upside -67.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · IN · ISIN INE881E01017

KE Broad data Oct 2, 2026

KELTECH ENERGIES LTD.

KELENRG · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Broad data
Quality 47/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +19.3 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin (TTM)
Moderate moat 47/100
Fair value ₹4,578 · Strongly overvalued (−67.0%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹14,740 ₹528.76 Fair Value ₹4,578 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹528.76 – ₹14,740 · fair‑value band ₹3,434 – ₹5,723 · the ₹13,873 price screens above the ₹4,578 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Keltech Energies Limited manufactures and sells cartridge explosives, bulk emulsion explosives, mono methyl amine nitrate (MMAN) solutions, expanded perlite products, perlite filter aids, and accessories for explosives in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Explosives and Perlite.

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Keltech Energies Limited manufactures and sells cartridge explosives, bulk emulsion explosives, mono methyl amine nitrate (MMAN) solutions, expanded perlite products, perlite filter aids, and accessories for explosives in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Explosives and Perlite. The company offers bulk emulsion explosives that are used for blasting hard rock formations in open cast workings for iron ore and coal mines; surface blasting in various types of strata conditions; and blasting in U/G tunneling operations in metal mines and infrastructure projects. It also provides packaged emulsion explosives and packaged water gel explosives; MMAN, a chemical sensitizer to manufacture water gel slurry explosives; cast boosters, which are used for the initiation of a detonating fuse and a detonator; detonating fuses used for fail proof and reliable propagation of detonation wave; and penta erythritol tetra nitrate, a component used in the manufacture of cast boosters, detonating fuses, and detonators. In addition, the company offers cryogenic insulations; live perlite toppings; perlite concrete blocks; and industrial, perlite, and diatomite filter aids. Further, it provides horticulture products and other perlite products. Additionally, the company offers technical services to the mining and quarrying, construction, oil and gas, and dredging sectors. Keltech Energies Limited was formerly known as Karnataka Explosive Ltd. The company was incorporated in 1977 and is based in Bengaluru, India.

Stock analysis

KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG) currently trades at ₹13,873, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4,578, 67.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹4,933 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹13,873 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹1,025, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹3,434 (bear) to ₹5,723 (bull), the price of ₹13,873 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. reported revenue of ₹5.3B in FY2026 versus ₹3.5B in FY2022, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹287M in FY2026, compounding +44.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹13.9B (≈ $144M) · P/E ratio 48.6 · P/S ratio 2.62 · EPS (TTM) ₹285.52 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 20.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 362% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −67%, KELENRG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹3,434 Fair Value ₹4,578 Bull ₹5,723
Price ₹13,873 · Upside -67.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹145.51 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ₹1,866 ₹2,122 ₹2,330 74
Residual Income ₹1,508 ₹1,963 ₹3,093 74
ROIC Compounder ₹1,975 ₹2,493 ₹3,123 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1,949 ₹9,199 ₹12,649 64
Lynch FV ₹2,440 ₹3,486 ₹4,531 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹2,440 ₹3,486 ₹4,531 57
EPV ₹1,866 ₹2,122 ₹2,330 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹10.45 ₹17.50 ₹22.71 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹10.45 ₹16.60 ₹18.83 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹3,655 ₹4,873 ₹6,091 63
P/S Multiple ₹3,655 ₹4,873 ₹6,091 58
P/B Multiple ₹3,441 ₹4,588 ₹5,736 55
EV/EBIT ₹3,219 ₹4,383 ₹5,546 66
EV/EBITDA ₹2,795 ₹3,817 ₹4,839 67
EV/Revenue ₹2,754 ₹4,050 ₹5,347 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹764.73 ₹1,025 ₹1,529 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹1,508 ₹1,963 ₹3,093 74
ROIC Compounder ₹1,975 ₹2,493 ₹3,123 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹3,453 ₹4,933 ₹6,413 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 7
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+31.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 6%

KELENRG screens overvalued: fair value 67% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 705 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −67.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 20.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 28.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.28× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.6× · Priciest 25%
P/B 9.07× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.42× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 33.9× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 59
PAST (return on equity)83 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 234.23 TWD −2%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,360 CHF 1,527 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥69.45 ¥68.03 −2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 92.30 CHF 29.70 −68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,444 ₹1,479 −39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $104.67 $76.98 −26%

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KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. · Fair Value
₹4,578 −67%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KELENRG

Frequently asked questions

Is KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹4,578 versus a price of ₹13,873, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KELENRG?
Our model-based fair value for KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is ₹4,578 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹13,873.
What is the quality score of KELENRG?
KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹4,578 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹3,434, optimistic scenario ₹5,723. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹4,578, about −67% upside versus a price of ₹13,873 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹3,434, optimistic scenario ₹5,723. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹5.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. pay a dividend?
KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.01% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. it is ₹4,578 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹13,873. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, KELENRG trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹13,873, fair value ₹4,578, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KELENRG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹13,873); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹4,578). For KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. the two are ₹9,295 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. worth?
The market values KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. at about ₹13.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹13,873; our models calculate a fair value of ₹4,578 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KELENRG?
Our models span a range for KELTECH ENERGIES LTD.: cautious scenario ₹3,434, base ₹4,578, optimistic ₹5,723 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹13,873). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KELENRG?
KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 48.6 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹4,578 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 9.1, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 33.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
Balance-sheet figures for KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 20.7%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KELENRG from its 52-week high?
KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. trades at ₹13,873, about 6% below its 52-week high of ₹14,740 and 362% above the low of ₹3,005 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹4,578 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KELTECH ENERGIES LTD.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹13,873, calculated fair value ₹4,578 (−67%), Quality Score 47/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KELENRG calculated?
We run KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹4,578, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹13,873. Our model-based fair value is ₹4,578, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹5,723). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD.

How large is the market capitalisation of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
The market capitalisation of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is ₹13.9B (≈ $144M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is 2.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
Earnings per share at KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. are ₹285.52 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 48.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
The dividend yield of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is 0.0% (payout 0.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
The net margin of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is 5.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is 20.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is 9.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
The operating margin of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
Revenue at KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is growing +28.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG)?
Earnings per share at KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. are growing −1.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG) generate?
The free cash flow of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is −₹375M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. (KELENRG) carry?
The net debt of KELTECH ENERGIES LTD. is ₹567M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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