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Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.6B

SJ Signet Jewelers Limited logo Signet Jewelers Limited SIG · US
Price$93.88
Fair Value$164.68
Upside+75.4%
Quality66/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.45% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $123.51 – $205.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +12.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 75% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($123.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$106.14 $45.52 Fair Value $164.68 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $45.52 – $106.14 · fair‑value band $123.51 – $205.85 · the $93.88 price screens below the $164.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) currently trades at $93.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $164.68, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Signet Jewelers Limited generated revenue of $6.8B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at $343M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $123.51 (bear case) to $205.85 (bull case); at $93.88, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 75%, SIG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $217.99 $398.23 $688.59 80
Residual Income $49.17 $65.19 $195.97 76
Rev-Margin DCF $189.31 $318.46 $589.15 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $230.93 $345.57 $703.00 38
Owner Earnings $127.38 $259.80 $527.59 31
5Y Revenue Exit $173.54 $280.67 $504.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $200.54 $335.25 $599.20 41
5Y P/E Exit $162.12 $314.41 $517.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit $188.00 $375.26 $489.71 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $212.44 $432.07 $809.23 37
10Y P/E Exit $185.04 $351.24 $614.53 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $50.90 $354.98 $498.15 54
Lynch FV $183.39 $261.99 $340.59 50
PEG = 1.0 $183.39 $261.99 $340.59 46
EPV $113.63 $128.66 $141.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $11.59 $23.09 $34.97 70
DDM Multi-Stage $11.59 $19.96 $24.38 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $112.28 $149.71 $187.14 63
P/S Multiple $95.44 $127.25 $159.07 58
P/B Multiple $95.44 $127.25 $159.07 55
EV/EBIT $195.37 $254.33 $313.29 53
EV/EBITDA $182.81 $237.58 $292.35 54
EV/Revenue $137.72 $188.82 $239.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $25.00 $33.50 $49.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $217.99 $398.23 $688.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF $189.31 $318.46 $589.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $49.17 $65.19 $195.97 76
ROIC Compounder $143.73 $210.44 $297.38 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $236.31 $337.59 $438.87 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($337.59) versus Dividend Discount ($19.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 15.9%
Free cash flow $525M FY2026
P/E ratio 12.3
More key figures
Operating margin 5.1%
EPS (TTM) $7.08
Dividend yield 1.5%
Net debt $343M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Signet Jewelers Limited operates as a diamond jewelry retailer in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Republic of Irland. It operates through three segments: North America, International, and other.

Full company description

Signet Jewelers Limited operates as a diamond jewelry retailer in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Republic of Irland. It operates through three segments: North America, International, and other. The North America segment operates jewelry stores in malls, mall-based kiosks, and off-mall locations in the United States and Canada primarily under the Kay, Zales, Jared Jewelers, Diamonds Direct, Banter by Piercing Pagoda, Peoples Jewellers, and Rocksbox brands, as well as operates online through its digital brands, James Allen and Blue Nile. The International segment operates stores in shopping malls, off-mall locations, and online primarily under the H.Samuel and Ernest Jones brands in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. The Other segment engages in the purchase and conversion of rough diamonds to polished stones, as well as offers diamond polishing services. Signet Jewelers Limited was founded in 1862 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Signet Jewelers Limited reported revenue of $6.8B in FY2026 versus $7.8B in FY2022, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $294M in FY2026, compounding −21.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$6.8B
Latest YoY
+1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+9.0%
Revenue −3.4%/yr
FY22 $7.8B
FY23 $7.8B
FY24 $7.2B
FY25 $6.7B
FY26 $6.8B
Net income −21.4%/yr
FY22 $770M
FY23 $377M
FY24 $810M
FY25 $61.2M
FY26 $294M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Signet Jewelers Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 132 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +75% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.83× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.40× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 15
FUTURE 4 · sector 50
PAST 64 · sector 38
HEALTH 96 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 38

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Christian Dior SE DIO €455.40 €502.30 +10%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹546.60 ₹238.57 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $164.68 versus a price of $93.88, about +75% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SIG?
Our model-based fair value for Signet Jewelers Limited is $164.68 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $93.88.
What is the quality score of SIG?
Signet Jewelers Limited has a Quality Score of 66/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG)?
Signet Jewelers Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIG?
The net profit margin of Signet Jewelers Limited is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Signet Jewelers Limited pay a dividend?
Signet Jewelers Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.53% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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