Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. TRY 6.71, price TRY 6.27, upside +7.0%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.65 TRY – 20.06 TRY · fair‑value band 5.03 TRY – 8.38 TRY · the 6.27 TRY price screens below the 6.71 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. provides various software and technology management solutions, services, and products in Turkey and internationally.
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Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. provides various software and technology management solutions, services, and products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers Data Focus, a data governance tool to manage enterprise-structured data; Data Touch, a platform for sensitive data monitoring and data usage analytics; Test Data Management, a solution that enables controlled creation, transfer, and management of data required in software development and testing processes; and Dataskope, a database activity monitoring and security solution. It also provides Infraskope, an enterprise security information and event management platform that collects, analyzes, and correlates logs generated from an organization's entire IT infrastructure; APIFORT, a cybersecurity product; Corporate Portal which facilitates intra-corporate processes; and ERPGuard, a solution designed to enhance the security of SAP systems and optimize compliance processes. In addition, the company offers turnkey projects, cyber security solutions, google security operations, cloud solutions, data virtualization consulting, robotic process automation service, data privacy and protection services, outsourcing services, data decision management systems consultancy, test management consultancy, digital transformation consultancy, data warehouse consulting, managed technology services, software development, advanced analytics solutions, and IT operation management services. It serves technology, banking, telecommunications, tourism, services, retail, and insurance sectors. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN) currently trades at 6.27 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.71 TRY, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.6%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 12.10 TRY per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the 6.27 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 4.38 TRY, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 5.03 TRY (bear) to 8.38 TRY (bull), the price of 6.27 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 2.8B TRY in FY2025 versus 265M TRY in FY2021, a compound +81.0%/yr. Reported net income was 47.3M TRY in FY2025, compounding +59.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 1.6B TRY (≈ $33.6M) · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) −1.18 TRY · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.7% · Operating margin 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 7%, KFEIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 5.03 TRYFair Value 6.71 TRYBull 8.38 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+93.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+61.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 5%
Compare Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 715 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+7.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.5% · Above median
Return on assets7.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23.8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KFEIN
Frequently asked questions
Is Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.71 TRY versus a price of 6.27 TRY, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KFEIN?
Our model-based fair value for Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 6.71 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.27 TRY.
What is the quality score of KFEIN?
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6.71 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5.03 TRY, optimistic scenario 8.38 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6.71 TRY, about +7% upside versus a price of 6.27 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 5.03 TRY, optimistic scenario 8.38 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.0B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. pay a dividend?
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. it is 6.71 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 6.27 TRY. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KFEIN trades below its calculated fair value: price 6.27 TRY, fair value 6.71 TRY, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KFEIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.27 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6.71 TRY). For Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. the two are 0.4400 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. at about 1.6B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 6.27 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 6.71 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KFEIN?
Our models span a range for Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 5.03 TRY, base 6.71 TRY, optimistic 8.38 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 6.27 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KFEIN from its 52-week high?
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. trades at 6.27 TRY, about 48% below its 52-week high of 12.00 TRY and 3% above the low of 6.09 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6.71 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 6.27 TRY, calculated fair value 6.71 TRY (+7%), Quality Score 39/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KFEIN calculated?
We run Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 6.71 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 6.27 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 6.71 TRY, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
The market capitalisation of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 1.6B TRY (≈ $33.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 0.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
Earnings per share at Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. are −1.18 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
The dividend yield of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
The net margin of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 11.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
The operating margin of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
Revenue at Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is growing +23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +93.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN)?
Earnings per share at Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. are growing −61.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN) generate?
The free cash flow of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is −142M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN) carry?
The net debt of Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. is 1.4M TRY (fiscal year 2018). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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