Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TR · Market cap 1.6B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Share price −6.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.99 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.65 TRY – 20.06 TRY · fair‑value band 4.10 TRY – 5.99 TRY · the 8.24 TRY price screens above the 4.79 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. (KFEIN) currently trades at 8.24 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.79 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 3.0B TRY at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 23.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. Net debt stands at 1.4M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4.10 TRY (bear case) to 5.99 TRY (bull case); at 8.24 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -42%, KFEIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (10.80 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (0.4400 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. provides various software and technology management solutions, services, and products in Turkey and internationally.
Full company description
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. provides various software and technology management solutions, services, and products in Turkey and internationally. The company offers Data Focus, a data governance tool to manage enterprise-structured data; Data Touch, a platform for sensitive data monitoring and data usage analytics; Test Data Management, a solution that enables controlled creation, transfer, and management of data required in software development and testing processes; and Dataskope, a database activity monitoring and security solution. It also provides Infraskope, an enterprise security information and event management platform that collects, analyzes, and correlates logs generated from an organization's entire IT infrastructure; APIFORT, a cybersecurity product; Corporate Portal which facilitates intra-corporate processes; and ERPGuard, a solution designed to enhance the security of SAP systems and optimize compliance processes. In addition, the company offers turnkey projects, cyber security solutions, google security operations, cloud solutions, data virtualization consulting, robotic process automation service, data privacy and protection services, outsourcing services, data decision management systems consultancy, test management consultancy, digital transformation consultancy, data warehouse consulting, managed technology services, software development, advanced analytics solutions, and IT operation management services. It serves technology, banking, telecommunications, tourism, services, retail, and insurance sectors. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kafein Yazilim Hizmetleri Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 2.8B TRY in FY2025 versus 265M TRY in FY2021, a compound +81.0%/yr. Reported net income was 47.3M TRY in FY2025, compounding +59.0%/yr from FY2021.
KFEIN screens 42% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 716 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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