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PT Kino Indonesia Tbk (KINO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 1.6T IDR

PK PT Kino Indonesia Tbk KINO · JK
Price1,300 IDR
Fair Value1,563 IDR
Upside+20.2%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range 1,144 IDR – 2,214 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 1,884 IDR to 1,563 IDR (−17.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +16.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (1,144 IDR to 2,214 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4,716 IDR 942.97 IDR Fair Value 1,563 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 942.97 IDR – 4,716 IDR · fair‑value band 1,144 IDR – 2,214 IDR · the 1,300 IDR price screens below the 1,563 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Kino Indonesia Tbk (KINO) currently trades at 1,300 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,563 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 20.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Kino Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 4.6T IDR at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at 1.4T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1,144 IDR (bear case) to 2,214 IDR (bull case); at 1,300 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 20%, KINO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2,434 IDR 3,440 IDR 4,870 IDR 80
Residual Income 1,044 IDR 1,109 IDR 1,215 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1,653 IDR 2,389 IDR 3,170 IDR 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2,346 IDR 3,403 IDR 4,960 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 945.42 IDR 1,379 IDR 2,017 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,653 IDR 2,353 IDR 3,193 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2,467 IDR 3,779 IDR 5,225 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 1,607 IDR 2,272 IDR 2,917 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,843 IDR 2,518 IDR 3,313 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2,402 IDR 3,497 IDR 4,807 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 1,855 IDR 2,463 IDR 3,109 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 610.05 IDR 1,298 IDR 1,647 IDR 54
PEG = 1.0 197.82 IDR 282.60 IDR 367.37 IDR 46
EPV 1,270 IDR 1,499 IDR 1,702 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 321.69 IDR 503.60 IDR 709.74 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 321.69 IDR 469.86 IDR 645.88 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,413 IDR 1,884 IDR 2,355 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 1,144 IDR 1,525 IDR 1,906 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 1,144 IDR 1,525 IDR 1,906 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,926 IDR 2,577 IDR 3,229 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 2,909 IDR 3,888 IDR 4,867 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 1,367 IDR 1,965 IDR 2,562 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 631.44 IDR 846.12 IDR 1,263 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2,434 IDR 3,440 IDR 4,870 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,653 IDR 2,389 IDR 3,170 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1,044 IDR 1,109 IDR 1,215 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 1,271 IDR 1,567 IDR 1,908 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,041 IDR 1,487 IDR 1,933 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,463 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (469.86 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.6T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin 3.3%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow 297B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) 100.05 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +62.8%
Net debt 1.4T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Kino Indonesia Tbk produces and sells personal care, beverages, food, pharmaceutical, and pet food products in Indonesia and internationally.

Full company description

PT Kino Indonesia Tbk produces and sells personal care, beverages, food, pharmaceutical, and pet food products in Indonesia and internationally. It offers personal care products under the Ellips, Sleek Baby, Oval, Eskulin, Samantha, Sasha, Master, Abstract, Sasha Halal Toothpaste, Ristra, Eskulin Kids, Master Kids, B&B, Resik V, Absolute, and Click brands; beverages under the Cap Panda, Cap Kaki Tiga, Panther, Malee, Segar Sari, and Cap Kaki Tiga Anak brands; food under the Kino Candy Chewey, Snack It Marshmallow, PIA 100, Chew Chew Ball, and Kino Nastar brands; home care products under the Sleek and Instance hand sanitizer brands; health and wellness products under the Ristra Clinic and Cap Kaki Tiga Pharma brands; and pet care products under the MAXlife, Perro, KUCINGKU, and JOJO brand names. The company was formerly known as PT Kinocare Era Kosmetindo. PT Kino Indonesia Tbk was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia. PT Kino Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Kino Investindo.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Kino Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 4.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.0T IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 124B IDR in FY2025, compounding +4.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.4T IDR
Latest YoY
+1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 4.0T IDR
FY22 3.6T IDR
FY23 4.1T IDR
FY24 4.4T IDR
FY25 4.4T IDR
Net income +4.2%/yr
FY21 105B IDR
FY22 −950B IDR
FY23 70.5B IDR
FY24 86.6B IDR
FY25 124B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −9.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.4 pp

of which total revenue +2.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.0 pp

EBIT margin −5.9 pp
Tax rate −0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Kino Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KINO

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 92 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 60 · sector 27
FUTURE 57 · sector 44
PAST 34 · sector 48
HEALTH 95 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 46

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.05 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.02 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Kino Indonesia Tbk (KINO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,563 IDR versus a price of 1,300 IDR, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KINO?
Our model-based fair value for PT Kino Indonesia Tbk is 1,563 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 1,300 IDR.
What is the quality score of KINO?
PT Kino Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Kino Indonesia Tbk (KINO)?
PT Kino Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.6T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KINO?
The net profit margin of PT Kino Indonesia Tbk is about 3.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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