Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk IDR 1,143, price IDR 520, upside +119.8%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 305.26 IDR – 770.03 IDR · fair‑value band 619.24 IDR – 1,476 IDR · the 520.00 IDR price screens below the 1,143 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa, Tbk operates as a food and beverage company in Indonesia. The company trades and distributes syrups, fruit mixes, sauces, and powders; and coffee products. It offers almond milk, soy milk, coconut milk, dairy milk, and free lactose milk, as well as macadamia plant based and oat dairy alternative products.
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PT Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa, Tbk operates as a food and beverage company in Indonesia. The company trades and distributes syrups, fruit mixes, sauces, and powders; and coffee products. It offers almond milk, soy milk, coconut milk, dairy milk, and free lactose milk, as well as macadamia plant based and oat dairy alternative products. In addition, the company manufactures non-dairy creamer; commercial blenders; coffee, tea, slush, and juice machines; and hot water and soybean milk dispensers, etc. It sells its products under the MONIN, LAVAZZA, MILKLAB, Dreamy, BOBA KING, SANTINO KAV, izy, JTC OmniBlend, Straw Me, and i Pilot brand names. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Tangerang Selatan, Indonesia. PT Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa, Tbk is a subsidiary of PT. Dima Investindo.
Stock analysis
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS) currently trades at 520.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,143 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 54.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2,011 IDR per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the 520.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 216.33 IDR, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 619.24 IDR (bear) to 1,476 IDR (bull), the price of 520.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk reported revenue of 428B IDR in FY2025 versus 235B IDR in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was 55.9B IDR in FY2025, compounding +13.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 416B IDR (≈ $23.2M) · P/E ratio 5.7 · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) 91.17 IDR · Dividend yield 7.0% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 21.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 120%, KMDS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 619.24 IDRFair Value 1,143 IDRBull 1,476 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (66.94 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+19.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 15%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.8% a year for the price.
Compare Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+120% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)21% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth22% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Is Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,143 IDR versus a price of 520.00 IDR, about +120% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KMDS?
Our model-based fair value for Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 1,143 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 520.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KMDS?
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,143 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 619.24 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,476 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,143 IDR, about +120% upside versus a price of 520.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 619.24 IDR, optimistic scenario 1,476 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 447B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk pay a dividend?
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.97% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +8.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +26.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KMDS use?
Our models discount Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk that is +8.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk grew +26.5 % a year. The price currently implies +8.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (+8.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.38 %: that much free cash flow Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk it is 1,143 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 520.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KMDS trades below its calculated fair value: price 520.00 IDR, fair value 1,143 IDR, a gap of about +120% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KMDS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (520.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,143 IDR). For Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk the two are 622.86 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk worth?
The market values Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk at about 416B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 520.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,143 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KMDS?
Our models span a range for Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk: cautious scenario 619.24 IDR, base 1,143 IDR, optimistic 1,476 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 520.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KMDS?
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,143 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 21.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KMDS from its 52-week high?
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk trades at 520.00 IDR, about 25% below its 52-week high of 693.13 IDR and 3% above the low of 504.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,143 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 520.00 IDR, calculated fair value 1,143 IDR (+120%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KMDS calculated?
We run Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,143 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk currently trades 120 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 520.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,143 IDR, about +120% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (619.24 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (619.24 IDR to 1,476 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The market capitalisation of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 416B IDR (≈ $23.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 0.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
Earnings per share at Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk are 91.17 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The dividend yield of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 7.0% (payout 39.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The net margin of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 13.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 21.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 23.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
The operating margin of Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
Revenue at Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk is growing +21.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS)?
Earnings per share at Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk are growing −7.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk (KMDS) hold?
Kurniamitra Duta Sentosa Tbk holds more cash than debt, 30.8B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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