Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as CZK 261, price CZK 511, upside -48.9%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 197.42 CZK – 546.00 CZK · fair‑value band 191.88 CZK – 724.57 CZK · the 511.00 CZK price screens above the 261.26 CZK fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Kofola CeskoSlovensko a.s., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Poland, and internationally.
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Kofola CeskoSlovensko a.s., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Poland, and internationally. The company offers carbonated and non-carbonated beverages, water, syrup, beverages for children, energy drink, fresh juices and salads, fruit drinks, teas and coffee, beers and ciders, and other products. It is also involved in operation of fresh bars chain, hotel, coffee plantation, apple orchards, and vending machines; production and distribution of jams, products from medicinal plants and natural teas, and self-watering clay pots; marketing activities; products completion and packaging; production of hot-washed PET flakes and PET preforms; wholesale of beer and soft drinks; B2B sales of products and services through marketplace; provision of road cargo transport services; and services related to products, shared services, and holding of licenses and trademarks activities. The company sells its products primarily under the Kofola, Vinea, Radenska, Studenac, Rajec, Ondrasovka, Korunni and Klastorna Kalcia, Jupi, Jupik, Semtex, UGO, Leros, Cafe Reserva, Trepallini, Zubr, Holba, and Litovel brands, as well as Evian, Vincentka, Dilmah, Royal Crown Cola, Orangina, Pepsi brands; and private labels for third parties. The company was founded in 1887 is headquartered in Ostrava-Poruba, the Czech Republic. Kofola CeskoSlovensko a.s. operates as a subsidiary of Lykos Alfa A.S.
Stock analysis
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) currently trades at 511.00 CZK, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 261.26 CZK, implying the stock looks roughly 95.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 557.36 CZK per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the 511.00 CZK price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 61.29 CZK, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 191.88 CZK (bear) to 724.57 CZK (bull), the price of 511.00 CZK sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as reported revenue of 10.8B CZK in FY2025 versus 6.6B CZK in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was 674M CZK in FY2025, compounding +28.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.9B CZK (≈ $507M) · P/E ratio 16.9 · P/S ratio 1.06 · EPS (TTM) 30.27 CZK · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 31.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −49%, KOFOL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 191.88 CZKFair Value 261.26 CZKBull 724.57 CZK
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (22.14 CZK per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+41.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23% vs 12%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
2025 sits 93% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Kofola CeskoSlovensko as with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 90 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−49% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity2.09× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)16.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B5.59× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.99× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA8.6× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)69· sector 49
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 51
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)50· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kofola CeskoSlovensko as Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOFOL
Frequently asked questions
Is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 261.26 CZK versus a price of 511.00 CZK, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOFOL?
Our model-based fair value for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 261.26 CZK (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 511.00 CZK.
What is the quality score of KOFOL?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 261.26 CZK (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 191.88 CZK, optimistic scenario 724.57 CZK. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kofola CeskoSlovensko as stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 261.26 CZK, about −49% upside versus a price of 511.00 CZK (overvalued). Cautious scenario 191.88 CZK, optimistic scenario 724.57 CZK. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.0B CZK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kofola CeskoSlovensko as pay a dividend?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kofola CeskoSlovensko as it is 261.26 CZK per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 511.00 CZK. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KOFOL trades above its calculated fair value: price 511.00 CZK, fair value 261.26 CZK, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOFOL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (511.00 CZK); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (261.26 CZK). For Kofola CeskoSlovensko as the two are 249.74 CZK per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as worth?
The market values Kofola CeskoSlovensko as at about 10.9B CZK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 511.00 CZK; our models calculate a fair value of 261.26 CZK per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOFOL?
Our models span a range for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as: cautious scenario 191.88 CZK, base 261.26 CZK, optimistic 724.57 CZK per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 511.00 CZK). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KOFOL?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 261.26 CZK is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.6, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 31.7%, debt of 2.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOFOL from its 52-week high?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as trades at 511.00 CZK, about 3% below its 52-week high of 527.00 CZK and 14% above the low of 450.00 CZK (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 261.26 CZK is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kofola CeskoSlovensko as?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 511.00 CZK, calculated fair value 261.26 CZK (−49%), Quality Score 48/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOFOL calculated?
We run Kofola CeskoSlovensko as through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 261.26 CZK, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Kofola CeskoSlovensko as itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 511.00 CZK. Our model-based fair value is 261.26 CZK, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kofola CeskoSlovensko as right now?
The model range is unusually wide (191.88 CZK to 724.57 CZK). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) come from?
Earnings per share at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as grew +1.9 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.7 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate −1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as
How large is the market capitalisation of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The market capitalisation of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 10.9B CZK (≈ $507M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 1.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Earnings per share at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as are 30.27 CZK (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The dividend yield of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 2.5% (payout 41.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The net margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 31.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The operating margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Revenue at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is growing +13.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Earnings per share at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as are growing −27.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) generate?
The free cash flow of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is −7.6M CZK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) carry?
The net debt of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 4.9B CZK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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