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Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as stock CZK 197, price CZK 500, that is 60.6% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive CZ · ISIN CZ0009000121

KC Kofola CeskoSlovensko as logo Some data Nov 3, 2026

Kofola CeskoSlovensko as

KOFOL · PR
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 61% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 49/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +11.7 %/yr in CZK)
Thin margins · 6.2% net margin (TTM)
4.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 58/100 · thin data
Some data
Fair value 196.91 CZK · Strongly overvalued (−60.6%)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

546.00 CZK 197.42 CZK Fair Value 196.91 CZK Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 197.42 CZK – 546.00 CZK · fair‑value band 160.48 CZK – 312.42 CZK · the 500.00 CZK price screens above the 196.91 CZK fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Kofola CeskoSlovensko a.s., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of non-alcoholic and alcoholic beverages in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Poland, and internationally.

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The company offers carbonated and non-carbonated beverages, water, syrup, beverages for children, energy drink, fresh juices and salads, fruit drinks, teas and coffee, beers and ciders, and other products.

It is also involved in operation of fresh bars chain, hotel, coffee plantation, apple orchards, and vending machines; production and distribution of jams, products from medicinal plants and natural teas, and self-watering clay pots; marketing activities; products completion and packaging; production of hot-washed PET flakes and PET preforms; wholesale of beer and soft drinks; B2B sales of products and services through marketplace; provision of road cargo transport services; and services related to products, shared services, and holding of licenses and trademarks activities.

The company sells its products primarily under the Kofola, Vinea, Radenska, Studenac, Rajec, Ondrasovka, Korunni and Klastorna Kalcia, Jupi, Jupik, Semtex, UGO, Leros, Cafe Reserva, Trepallini, Zubr, Holba, and Litovel brands, as well as Evian, Vincentka, Dilmah, Royal Crown Cola, Orangina, Pepsi brands; and private labels for third parties.

The company was founded in 1887 is headquartered in Ostrava-Poruba, the Czech Republic. Kofola CeskoSlovensko a.s. operates as a subsidiary of Lykos Alfa A.S.

Stock analysis

Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) currently trades at 500.00 CZK, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 196.91 CZK, 61% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 663.38 CZK per share, and 6 of the 14 models we run sit above the 500.00 CZK price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at 141.77 CZK, and 8 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 160.48 CZK (bear) to 312.42 CZK (bull), the price of 500.00 CZK sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Kofola CeskoSlovensko as reported revenue of 10.8B CZK in FY2025 versus 6.6B CZK in FY2021, a compound +12.8%/yr. Reported net income was 674M CZK in FY2025, compounding +28.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 10.6B CZK (≈ $489M) Small · P/E ratio 16.0 · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) 31.16 CZK · Dividend yield 4.2% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 33.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.9% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −61%, KOFOL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 160.48 CZK Fair Value 196.91 CZK Bull 312.42 CZK
Price 500.00 CZK · Downside -60.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (8.71 CZK per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV 257.03 CZK 317.83 CZK 369.25 CZK 74
Residual Income 160.48 CZK 196.91 CZK 312.42 CZK 74
Owner Earnings 53.33 CZK 141.77 CZK 258.92 CZK 72
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 53.33 CZK 141.77 CZK 258.92 CZK 72
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 214.81 CZK 565.24 CZK 738.06 CZK 65
PEG = 1.0 108.35 CZK 154.79 CZK 201.23 CZK 57
EPV 257.03 CZK 317.83 CZK 369.25 CZK 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 105.72 CZK 195.64 CZK 284.05 CZK 67
DDM Multi-Stage 105.72 CZK 156.55 CZK 205.82 CZK 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 497.54 CZK 663.38 CZK 829.23 CZK 63
P/S Multiple 402.77 CZK 537.02 CZK 671.28 CZK 58
EV/EBIT 467.18 CZK 700.14 CZK 933.09 CZK 65
EV/EBITDA 650.37 CZK 944.39 CZK 1,238 CZK 67
EV/Revenue 267.11 CZK 480.88 CZK 694.65 CZK 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income 160.48 CZK 196.91 CZK 312.42 CZK 74
ROIC Compounder 275.45 CZK 366.50 CZK 464.40 CZK 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 389.42 CZK 556.31 CZK 723.21 CZK 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 66
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 38
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 21
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 34
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 100
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 40
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 47
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 89
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+43.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23.2% vs 11.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 11%
2025 sits 93% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

KOFOL screens overvalued: fair value 61% below the price. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 80 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −60.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 33.8% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 6.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 11.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 7.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.09× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 16.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 5.47× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.95× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 19
FUTURE (revenue growth)39 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 54
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)84 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥115.00 ¥173.16 +51% vs KOFOL
Celsius Holdings CELH $32.16 $35.38 +10% vs KOFOL
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$45.22 HK$49.28 +9% vs KOFOL
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $45.72 $41.19 −10% vs KOFOL
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹438.00 ₹339.34 −23% vs KOFOL
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $116.13 $89.56 −23% vs KOFOL
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $141.34 $97.18 −31% vs KOFOL
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $36.63 $24.43 −33% vs KOFOL
Primo Brands Corporation PRMB $22.39 $12.23 −45% vs KOFOL
The Coca-Cola Company KO $95.67 $29.32 −69% vs KOFOL

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kofola CeskoSlovensko as Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOFOL

Frequently asked questions

Is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 196.91 CZK versus a price of 500.00 CZK, about 61% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOFOL?
Our model-based fair value for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 196.91 CZK (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 500.00 CZK.
What is the quality score of KOFOL?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 196.91 CZK (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 160.48 CZK, optimistic scenario 312.42 CZK. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kofola CeskoSlovensko as stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 196.91 CZK, about 61% lower versus a price of 500.00 CZK (overvalued). Cautious scenario 160.48 CZK, optimistic scenario 312.42 CZK. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.3B CZK (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
Does Kofola CeskoSlovensko as pay a dividend?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as currently shows a dividend yield of 4.20% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 3, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as pays a dividend of 21.00 CZK per share a year, a dividend yield of 4.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 25, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2016. The payout ratio is 67.4% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kofola CeskoSlovensko as it is 196.91 CZK per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 500.00 CZK. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, KOFOL trades above its calculated fair value: price 500.00 CZK, fair value 196.91 CZK, a gap of about −61% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOFOL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (500.00 CZK); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (196.91 CZK). For Kofola CeskoSlovensko as the two are 303.09 CZK per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as worth?
The market values Kofola CeskoSlovensko as at about 10.6B CZK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 500.00 CZK; our models calculate a fair value of 196.91 CZK per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOFOL?
Our models span a range for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as: cautious scenario 160.48 CZK, base 196.91 CZK, optimistic 312.42 CZK per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 500.00 CZK). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KOFOL?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.0 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 196.91 CZK is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 22.0. Other multiples: P/B 5.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 33.8%, debt of 2.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOFOL from its 52-week high?
Kofola CeskoSlovensko as trades at 500.00 CZK, about 5% below its 52-week high of 527.00 CZK and 11% above the low of 450.00 CZK (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 196.91 CZK is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kofola CeskoSlovensko as?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kofola CeskoSlovensko as stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 500.00 CZK, calculated fair value 196.91 CZK (−61%), Quality Score 49/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOFOL calculated?
We run Kofola CeskoSlovensko as through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 196.91 CZK builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Kofola CeskoSlovensko as itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 500.00 CZK. Our model-based fair value is 196.91 CZK, about 61% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kofola CeskoSlovensko as right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (312.42 CZK). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (160.48 CZK to 312.42 CZK) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) come from?
Earnings per share at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as grew +1.9 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.7 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate −1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as

How large is the market capitalisation of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The market capitalisation of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 10.6B CZK (≈ $489M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 0.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Earnings per share at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as are 31.16 CZK (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The dividend yield of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 4.2% (payout 67.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The net margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 6.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 33.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
The operating margin of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Revenue at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL)?
Earnings per share at Kofola CeskoSlovensko as are growing +7.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) generate?
The free cash flow of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is −7.6M CZK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kofola CeskoSlovensko as (KOFOL) carry?
The net debt of Kofola CeskoSlovensko as is 4.9B CZK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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