Longino & Cardenal S.p.A (LON) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IT · Market cap €6.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €1.47 to €0.4100 (−72.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.7500). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (€0.0820 to €0.7500). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.7500 – €4.98 · fair‑value band €0.0820 – €0.7500 · the €1.01 price screens above the €0.4100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Longino & Cardenal S.p.A (LON) currently trades at €1.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.4100, implying the stock looks roughly 59.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Longino & Cardenal S.p.A generated revenue of €35.9M at a net margin of -1.8%. Revenue declined 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.1%. Net debt stands at €6.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.0820 (bear case) to €0.7500 (bull case); at €1.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -59%, LON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€1.13) versus Dividend Discount (€0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Longino & Cardenal S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides catering services to the hotel, restaurant, catering, and gastronomy sectors in Italy, rest of the European Union, and internationally.
Full company description
Longino & Cardenal S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides catering services to the hotel, restaurant, catering, and gastronomy sectors in Italy, rest of the European Union, and internationally. It distributes food products through its online platform comprising caviar; fish products and specialties, such as oysters, mollusks, bivalves, canned fish, crustaceans, fish, and marine planktons; meats and cured meat products, including cattle, pigs, sheep, goats, farmyard animals, foie gras, and furred and feathered game birds; and Italian cheeses, butter, French cheeses, yogurt, and eggs. The company also offers fruits and vegetables, flowers, buds, aromatic herbs, garlic and black shallots, fruit and vegetable preserves, truffles, mushrooms, juices, and vegetable sheets; bread, breadsticks, pasta, rice, legumes, and flours; salt, spices, oil, vinegar, sauces, condiments, and molecular cuisine; and chocolates, pralines, cream and dessert products, nougats, and fruits and candied fruits. Longino & Cardenal S.p.A. was founded in 1988 and is based in Pogliano Milanese, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Longino & Cardenal S.p.A reported revenue of €35.3M in FY2025 versus €26.9M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€653K in FY2025.
LON screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.90 THB | 17.04 THB | +14% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $79.24 | $47.78 | -40% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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