Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Lion Selection Group Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
A strong business, trading 71% below our fair value of A$3.19.
As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of Lion Selection Group Ltd is A$3.19 per share against a price of A$0.9300, so the fair value sits 243% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +9.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (79/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (A$2.25 to A$6.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3156 – A$1.11 · fair‑value band A$2.25 – A$6.54 · the A$0.9300 price screens below the A$3.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Lion Selection Group Ltd (LSX) currently trades at A$0.9300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.19, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$11.78 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.9300 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.6000, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lion Selection Group Ltd generated revenue of A$64.5M at a net margin of 84.0%. Revenue grew 89.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 41.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$8.8M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Scenario range: A$2.25 (bear) to A$6.54 (bull), the price of A$0.9300 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 243%, LSX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.3800 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$11.78) versus Growth DCF (A$0.1700). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lion Selection Group Limited is a Listed Investment Company (LIC) that invests specializes in early stage investment. The fund does not invest in oil or gas mining companies. It primarily invests in precious and base metals mining companies. The fund seeks to make investments in Australia.
Full company description
Lion Selection Group Limited is a Listed Investment Company (LIC) that invests specializes in early stage investment. The fund does not invest in oil or gas mining companies. It primarily invests in precious and base metals mining companies. The fund seeks to make investments in Australia. The fund seeks to invest in projects that are close to development or with exposure to advanced exploration. It seeks to make investments not exceeding 30% of its capital and 3"5 year investment horizon. Lion Selection Group Limited is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lion Selection Group Ltd reported revenue of A$46.4M in FY2025 versus A$93.0K in FY2021, a compound +372.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$39.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Gold · 246 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Lion Selection Group Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Valuation of the Australia market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $112.82 | −12% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $266.18 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation K | C$38.29 | C$34.62 | −10% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
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