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Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Mativ Holdings Inc. $20.10, price $12.29, upside +63.5%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN US8085411069

MH Mativ Holdings Inc. logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Mativ Holdings Inc.

MATV · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $20.10 · Strongly undervalued (+64%)
!Quality 38/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
·3.25% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $8.10 to $34.06
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$31.67 $4.33 Fair Value $20.10 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.33 – $31.67 · fair‑value band $8.10 – $34.06 · the $12.29 price screens below the $20.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Mativ Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty materials in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Filtration & Advanced Materials and Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions.

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Mativ Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells specialty materials in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Filtration & Advanced Materials and Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions. The Filtration & Advanced Materials manufactures and sells various engineered polymer, resin and fiber-based substrates, nets, films, adhesive tapes, and other nonwovens for transportation, water and air filtration, construction, healthcare, advertising and marketing, and consumer goods, as well as filtration media and components, advanced films, coating and converting solutions, and extruded mesh products. The Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions segment offers tapes, labels, and liners that includes substrates for tapes used in building and construction, infrastructure, DIY, athletic, and industrial applications; and substrates critical to protection and adhesive separation applications in the personal care, label, tape, industrial, graphic arts, composites, and medical categories, as well as performance labels and cable wrapping. This segment also provides paper and packaging products comprising premium printing and other specialty papers and packaging applications used for print collateral, advertising, direct mail, sustainable alternatives, product packaging, graphics, wallpaper, and education, as well as consumer office, stationery and craft papers to retailers, small business, personal use, and educational applications; and healthcare and other products, including wound care, consumer wellness, device fixation, medical packaging, as well as various other solutions and applications. The company was formerly known as Schweitzer-Mauduit International, Inc. and changed its name to Mativ Holdings, Inc. in July 2022. Mativ Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.

Stock analysis

Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV) currently trades at $12.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.10, implying the stock looks roughly 38.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $17.59 per share, and 5 of the 11 models we run sit above the $12.29 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $3.28, and 6 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $8.10 (bear) to $34.06 (bull), the price of $12.29 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Mativ Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $931M in FY2021, a compound +20.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$337M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $671M · P/E ratio 8.7 · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) $1.41 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin −17.0% · Return on equity 17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 64%, MATV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.10 Fair Value $20.10 Bull $34.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7416 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $9.24 $19.65 $33.06 77
Growth DCF $9.54 $18.77 $30.02 76
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.10 $19.18 $32.80 71
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.24 $19.65 $33.06 77
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $2.80 $8.28 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.10 $19.18 $32.80 71
10Y Revenue Exit $2.34 $7.33 $13.18 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.72 $17.59 $29.89 65
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.14 $5.66 $7.80 68
DDM Multi-Stage $3.14 $4.65 $6.03 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $8.74 $17.29 $25.83 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.52 $6.06 $9.05 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.54 $18.77 $30.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF n/a $3.28 $9.21 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 37
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.1% (2019) → 0.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.8% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 709 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +64% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.04× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.35× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 7.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.84× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)68 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)65 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Linde plc LIN $469.72 $441.28 −6%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $326.46 $148.97 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $276.72 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $286.97 $122.14 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 235.25 TWD −1%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,406 CHF 1,523 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.60 ¥68.03 −5%
Sika AG SIKA CHF 182.10 CHF 98.89 −46%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,455 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.20 $77.06 −28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.10 versus a price of $12.29, about +64% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MATV?
Our model-based fair value for Mativ Holdings Inc. is $20.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.29.
What is the quality score of MATV?
Mativ Holdings Inc. has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $20.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.10, optimistic scenario $34.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mativ Holdings Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $20.10, about +64% upside versus a price of $12.29 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $8.10, optimistic scenario $34.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
Mativ Holdings Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Mativ Holdings Inc. pay a dividend?
Mativ Holdings Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.25% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mativ Holdings Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +9.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MATV use?
Our models discount Mativ Holdings Inc. at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mativ Holdings Inc. that is +9.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Mativ Holdings Inc. grew +13.1 % a year. The price currently implies +9.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mativ Holdings Inc. (+9.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.98 %: that much free cash flow Mativ Holdings Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mativ Holdings Inc. it is $20.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $12.29. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mativ Holdings Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MATV trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.29, fair value $20.10, a gap of about +64% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MATV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($20.10). For Mativ Holdings Inc. the two are $7.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mativ Holdings Inc. worth?
The market values Mativ Holdings Inc. at about $671M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $12.29; our models calculate a fair value of $20.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MATV?
Our models span a range for Mativ Holdings Inc.: cautious scenario $8.10, base $20.10, optimistic $34.06 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $12.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MATV?
Mativ Holdings Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $20.10 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 17.6 (the reported result was a loss). Other multiples: PEG 1.8, P/B 1.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
What is the PEG ratio of MATV?
The PEG ratio of Mativ Holdings Inc. is 1.84 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mativ Holdings Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 17.0%, debt of 2.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MATV from its 52-week high?
Mativ Holdings Inc. trades at $12.29, about 17% below its 52-week high of $14.72 and 70% above the low of $7.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $20.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mativ Holdings Inc.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mativ Holdings Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $12.29, calculated fair value $20.10 (+64%), Quality Score 38/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MATV calculated?
We run Mativ Holdings Inc. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $20.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Mativ Holdings Inc. currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $12.29. Our model-based fair value is $20.10, about +64% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mativ Holdings Inc. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($8.10 to $34.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Key figures of Mativ Holdings Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The market capitalisation of Mativ Holdings Inc. is $671M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mativ Holdings Inc. is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
Earnings per share at Mativ Holdings Inc. are $1.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The dividend yield of Mativ Holdings Inc. is 3.3% (payout 28.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The net margin of Mativ Holdings Inc. is −17.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mativ Holdings Inc. is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mativ Holdings Inc. is −3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
The operating margin of Mativ Holdings Inc. is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
Revenue at Mativ Holdings Inc. is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)?
Earnings per share at Mativ Holdings Inc. are growing +64.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV) carry?
The net debt of Mativ Holdings Inc. is $1.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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