Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc stock $125, price $109, upside +15.2%, quality 85 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
MCRI · USThe stock costs 13% less than our calculation considers fair.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $48.23 – $133.54 · fair‑value band $90.44 – $168.63 · the $108.75 price screens below the $125.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Company profile
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos. It owns and operates hotels and casinos under the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado.
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The company also owns separate parcels of land.
In addition, it owns and operates The Toucan Charlie's Buffet & Grille, which offers a variety of food selections; The Atlantis Steakhouse, a fine dining destination; The Bistro Napa, which features wine country cuisine; The Oyster Bar on the Sky Terrace, which offers pan roasts made-to-order, fresh seafood, cioppino, house made chowder, and bisques; Sushi Bar, which serves sushi rolls; The Purple Parrot coffee shop, which serves breakfast and American comfort food; The Red Bloom Asian kitchen, which offers Asian dishes; The Manhattan Deli, which offers matzo ball soup, piled high sandwiches, salads, house made soups, bagels and lox, New York style pizza, and New York cheesecake; and The Chicago Dogs Eatery, a snack bar that serves Chicago-style hot dogs, pizza, ice cream, and arcade-style refreshments, as well as two gourmet coffee bars that offer coffee drinks, sandwiches, house made gelato, and freshly baked pastries.
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Reno, Nevada.
Stock analysis
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) currently trades at $108.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $125.27, implying the stock looks roughly 13% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $106.56 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the $108.75 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $14.30, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $90.44 (bear) to $168.63 (bull), the price of $108.75 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc reported revenue of $545M in FY2025 versus $395M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $101M in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B Small · P/E ratio 17.2 · P/S ratio 3.53 · EPS (TTM) $6.31 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 20.4% · Return on equity 20.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 77 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 15%, MCRI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, one officer or director sold shares worth $1.2M and none bought.
- SaleJohn FarahiCEO, Director, 10% owner4× since Dec 17, 2025: 14,000 shares, avg. $115.73$1.6MSep 17, 2026
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Monarch Casino & Resort Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 62 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- EBIT margin by industry
- P/S ratio by industry
- PEG screener for stocks with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$10.01 | HK$30.03 | +200% | vs MCRI |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$11.03 | HK$18.86 | +71% | vs MCRI |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $76.57 | $129.48 | +69% | vs MCRI |
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $40.73 | $55.26 | +36% | vs MCRI |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.84 | HK$46.74 | +34% | vs MCRI |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6100 SGD | 0.6400 SGD | +5% | vs MCRI |
| MGM Resorts International MGM | $32.34 | $31.91 | −1% | vs MCRI |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $83.11 | $54.88 | −34% | vs MCRI |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $48.22 | $30.31 | −37% | vs MCRI |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $158.59 | $83.42 | −47% | vs MCRI |
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Key figures of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
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