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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc (MCRI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.2B

Price$128.80
Fair Value$125.67
Upside-2.4%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $82.73 – $157.09

Analysis

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc (MCRI) currently trades at $128.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $125.67 — implying the stock looks roughly 2.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos. It owns and operates hotels and casinos under the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company also owns separate parcels of land. In addition, it owns and operates The Toucan Charlie's Buffet & Grille, which offers a variety of food selections; The Atlantis Steakhouse, a fine dining destination; The Bistro Napa, which features wine country cuisine; The Oyster Bar on the Sky Terrace, which offers pan roasts made-to-order, fresh seafood, cioppino, house made chowder, and bisques; Sushi Bar, which serves sushi rolls; The Purple Parrot coffee shop, which serves breakfast and American comfort food; The Red Bloom Asian kitchen, which offers Asian dishes; The Manhattan Deli, which offers matzo ball soup, piled high sandwiches, salads, house made soups, bagels and lox, New York style pizza, and New York cheesecake; an…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.