Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc $129, price $118, upside +9.7%, quality 83 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
MCRI · USQuality WatchlistQuality growthA strong company, but the current price is close to Fair Value.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $48.35 – $133.87 · fair‑value band $87.74 – $173.08 · the $117.57 price screens below the $128.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos. It owns and operates hotels and casinos under the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company also owns separate parcels of land.
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Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos. It owns and operates hotels and casinos under the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company also owns separate parcels of land. In addition, it owns and operates The Toucan Charlie's Buffet & Grille, which offers a variety of food selections; The Atlantis Steakhouse, a fine dining destination; The Bistro Napa, which features wine country cuisine; The Oyster Bar on the Sky Terrace, which offers pan roasts made-to-order, fresh seafood, cioppino, house made chowder, and bisques; Sushi Bar, which serves sushi rolls; The Purple Parrot coffee shop, which serves breakfast and American comfort food; The Red Bloom Asian kitchen, which offers Asian dishes; The Manhattan Deli, which offers matzo ball soup, piled high sandwiches, salads, house made soups, bagels and lox, New York style pizza, and New York cheesecake; and The Chicago Dogs Eatery, a snack bar that serves Chicago-style hot dogs, pizza, ice cream, and arcade-style refreshments, as well as two gourmet coffee bars that offer coffee drinks, sandwiches, house made gelato, and freshly baked pastries. Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Reno, Nevada.
Stock analysis
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc (MCRI) currently trades at $117.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $128.96, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $134.53 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the $117.57 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $18.66, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $87.74 (bear) to $173.08 (bull), the price of $117.57 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Monarch Casino & Resort Inc reported revenue of $545M in FY2025 versus $395M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $101M in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.2B · P/E ratio 19.9 · P/S ratio 3.71 · EPS (TTM) $5.90 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 18.6% · Return on equity 20.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 10%, MCRI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Monarch Casino & Resort Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 67 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $39.70 | $54.02 | +36% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$32.10 | HK$46.74 | +46% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$12.16 | HK$18.87 | +55% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $38.90 | $17.73 | −54% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $82.51 | $146.53 | +78% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $48.76 | $18.01 | −63% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $72.08 | $144.08 | +100% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.62 | $80.92 | +173% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6200 SGD | 0.5600 SGD | −10% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $138.98 | $152.88 | +10% |
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Key figures of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc
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