Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc (MCRI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.2B
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc
MCRI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −1.4% over the past month.
A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($82.95 to $157.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $48.35 – $133.87 · fair‑value band $82.95 – $157.09 · the $124.39 price screens below the $125.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc (MCRI) currently trades at $124.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $125.67, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc generated revenue of $556M at a net margin of 19.6%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $70.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $82.95 (bear case) to $157.09 (bull case); at $124.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 1%, MCRI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($133.86) versus Dividend Discount ($18.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos. It owns and operates hotels and casinos under the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company also owns separate parcels of land.
Full company description
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates hotels and casinos. It owns and operates hotels and casinos under the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada and the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk in Black Hawk, Colorado. The company also owns separate parcels of land. In addition, it owns and operates The Toucan Charlie's Buffet & Grille, which offers a variety of food selections; The Atlantis Steakhouse, a fine dining destination; The Bistro Napa, which features wine country cuisine; The Oyster Bar on the Sky Terrace, which offers pan roasts made-to-order, fresh seafood, cioppino, house made chowder, and bisques; Sushi Bar, which serves sushi rolls; The Purple Parrot coffee shop, which serves breakfast and American comfort food; The Red Bloom Asian kitchen, which offers Asian dishes; The Manhattan Deli, which offers matzo ball soup, piled high sandwiches, salads, house made soups, bagels and lox, New York style pizza, and New York cheesecake; and The Chicago Dogs Eatery, a snack bar that serves Chicago-style hot dogs, pizza, ice cream, and arcade-style refreshments, as well as two gourmet coffee bars that offer coffee drinks, sandwiches, house made gelato, and freshly baked pastries. Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Reno, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc reported revenue of $545M in FY2025 versus $395M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was $101M in FY2025, compounding +10.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Monarch Casino Resort Spa Earns Two More USA TODAY 10Best Readers’ Choice Awards Nominations, Including First for Best Casino Restaurant
- Monarch Casino & Resort Inc Reports Rise In Q2 Income
- Monarch (NASDAQ:MCRI) Reports Q2 CY2026 In Line With Expectations
- Monarch Casino (MCRI) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $44.79 | $52.27 | +17% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$41.44 | +21% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$13.08 | HK$2.05 | -84% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $46.13 | $13.70 | -70% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $97.05 | $69.39 | -29% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $64.75 | $17.09 | -74% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $87.64 | $151.24 | +73% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.91 | $80.92 | +171% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6200 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +11% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $150.14 | $125.02 | -17% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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