Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation $9.39, price $8.63, upside +8.9%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.72 – $8.63 · fair‑value band $6.09 – $13.13 · the $8.63 price screens below the $9.39 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation provides logistics services in Japan and internationally. It operates through the Logistics and Real Estate segments. The company offers warehousing; port, harbor, international, overland, and maritime transportation; and customs clearance services.
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Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation provides logistics services in Japan and internationally. It operates through the Logistics and Real Estate segments. The company offers warehousing; port, harbor, international, overland, and maritime transportation; and customs clearance services. It also engages in the development, sale, and operational management of logistics information systems; manages and operates parking lots and shopping centers; designs and contracts various construction projects; and provides condominium management services. In addition, the company involved in the design and supervision of construction work; wrapping, labeling, and storage of business of pharmaceutical product and medical devices; sales, purchases, leasing, and management of real estate, including office buildings, commercial facilities, hotels, and residences; warehouse operation and storage; distribution centers operation and processing; and operation of electronic repair centers. The company was formerly known as Mitsubishi Warehouse Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation in 1996. Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation was incorporated in 1887 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) currently trades at $8.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.39, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $11.46 per share, and 12 of the 22 models we run sit above the $8.63 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.35, and 10 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.09 (bear) to $13.13 (bull), the price of $8.63 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation reported revenue of ¥284B in FY2025 versus ¥214B in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥31.9B in FY2025, compounding −5.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.1B · P/E ratio 8.9 · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) $0.9700 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 11.2% · Return on equity 14.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 9%, MILGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.09Fair Value $9.39Bull $13.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
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’21
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−25.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.2% a year for the price and −0.3% for the forecasts.
Compare Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 216 stocks
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Is Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.39 versus a price of $8.63, about +9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MILGF?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is $9.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.63.
What is the quality score of MILGF?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $9.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.09, optimistic scenario $13.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $9.39, about +9% upside versus a price of $8.63 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $6.09, optimistic scenario $13.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥273B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation pay a dividend?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.20% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +4.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 7 years revenue grew +4.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MILGF use?
Our models discount Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation that is +4.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 7 years revenue at Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation grew +4.0 % a year. The price currently implies +4.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (+4.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.02 %: that much free cash flow Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation it is $9.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.63. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MILGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.63, fair value $9.39, a gap of about +9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MILGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.39). For Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation the two are $0.7650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation worth?
The market values Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation at about $3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.63; our models calculate a fair value of $9.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MILGF?
Our models span a range for Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation: cautious scenario $6.09, base $9.39, optimistic $13.13 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MILGF?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 14.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.4%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MILGF from its 52-week high?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation trades at $8.63, at its 52-week high of $8.63 and 17% above the low of $7.37 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.63, calculated fair value $9.39 (+9%), Quality Score 68/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MILGF calculated?
We run Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $9.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $8.63. Our model-based fair value is $9.39, about +9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($6.09 to $13.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The market capitalisation of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is $3.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is 1.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation are $0.9700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The dividend yield of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is 3.2% (payout 28.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The net margin of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is 11.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is 14.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
The operating margin of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Revenue at Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Earnings per share at Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation are growing +37.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) carry?
The net debt of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is ¥38.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026