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Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.9B

ML Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation logo Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation MILGF · US
Price$8.63
Fair Value$9.83
Upside+14.0%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 20.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.20% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $7.00 – $12.28 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $7.00 (bear) to $12.28 (bull), base $9.83. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$8.63 $3.72 Fair Value $9.83 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.72 – $8.63 · fair‑value band $7.00 – $12.28 · the $8.63 price screens below the $9.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) currently trades at $8.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.83, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation generated revenue of $273B at a net margin of 20.0%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at $38.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.00 (bear case) to $12.28 (bull case); at $8.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 14%, MILGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.77 $9.42 $12.91 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.82 $7.04 $9.48 74
ROIC Compounder $3.05 $3.55 $3.97 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.61 $9.51 $13.51 38
5Y Revenue Exit $4.82 $6.95 $9.54 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.90 $10.68 $14.92 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.49 $13.53 $18.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.34 $7.35 $9.80 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.73 $9.83 $13.67 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.70 $11.72 $16.31 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.76 $11.83 $15.33 54
PEG = 1.0 $2.15 $3.07 $3.99 46
EPV $3.05 $3.55 $3.97 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.04 $14.71 $18.39 63
P/S Multiple $8.93 $11.91 $14.89 58
P/B Multiple $8.93 $11.91 $14.89 55
EV/EBIT $5.63 $7.53 $9.42 53
EV/EBITDA $8.08 $10.80 $13.51 54
EV/Revenue $4.00 $5.74 $7.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.17 $5.59 $8.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.77 $9.42 $12.91 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.82 $7.04 $9.48 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.91 $7.42 $8.46 61
ROIC Compounder $3.05 $3.55 $3.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.49 $12.12 $15.76 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($12.12) versus Earnings-Based ($3.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $273B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.1%
Net margin 20.0%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow $29.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.9
More key figures
Operating margin 5.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.9700
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +37.6%
Net debt $38.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation provides logistics services in Japan and internationally. It operates through the Logistics and Real Estate segments. The company offers warehousing; port, harbor, international, overland, and maritime transportation; and customs clearance services.

Full company description

Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation provides logistics services in Japan and internationally. It operates through the Logistics and Real Estate segments. The company offers warehousing; port, harbor, international, overland, and maritime transportation; and customs clearance services. It also engages in the development, sale, and operational management of logistics information systems; manages and operates parking lots and shopping centers; designs and contracts various construction projects; and provides condominium management services. In addition, the company involved in the design and supervision of construction work; wrapping, labeling, and storage of business of pharmaceutical product and medical devices; sales, purchases, leasing, and management of real estate, including office buildings, commercial facilities, hotels, and residences; warehouse operation and storage; distribution centers operation and processing; and operation of electronic repair centers. The company was formerly known as Mitsubishi Warehouse Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation in 1996. Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation was incorporated in 1887 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation reported revenue of $284B in FY2025 versus $214B in FY2021, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was $31.9B in FY2025, compounding −5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$284B
Latest YoY
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+3.3%
Revenue +7.4%/yr
FY21 $214B
FY22 $257B
FY23 $301B
FY24 $255B
FY25 $284B
Net income −5.0%/yr
FY21 $39.2B
FY22 $17.9B
FY23 $27.2B
FY24 $27.8B
FY25 $31.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MILGF

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 45
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 58 · sector 26
HEALTH 91 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 64 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.83 versus a price of $8.63, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MILGF?
Our model-based fair value for Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is $9.83 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.63.
What is the quality score of MILGF?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation (MILGF)?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $273B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MILGF?
The net profit margin of Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation is about 20.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation pay a dividend?
Mitsubishi Logistics Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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