Mennica Polska S.A (MNC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PL · Market cap 1.9B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 74.71 PLN to 25.07 PLN (−66.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 40% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (33.72 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.48 PLN – 51.80 PLN · fair‑value band 18.80 PLN – 33.72 PLN · the 42.00 PLN price screens above the 25.07 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Mennica Polska S.A (MNC) currently trades at 42.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.07 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mennica Polska S.A generated revenue of 2.2B PLN at a net margin of 22.6%. Revenue grew 80.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.2%. Net debt stands at 104M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 18.80 PLN (bear case) to 33.72 PLN (bull case); at 42.00 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -40%, MNC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (172.72 PLN) versus Economic Profit (12.76 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mennica Polska S.A. engages in the manufacture and distribution of minting and engraved/medallist products in Poland and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Mint Products, Electronic Payments, and Real Estate Development.
Full company description
Mennica Polska S.A. engages in the manufacture and distribution of minting and engraved/medallist products in Poland and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Mint Products, Electronic Payments, and Real Estate Development. It produces and sells mint products, including circulation and collector coins; gold and silver investment products comprising bars and bullion coins; tokens and other mint products; and engraved/medallist products, such as medals, decorations, stamps, seals, date stamps, and hallmarks, as well as engages in the marketing and sale activities relating to the promotion and distribution of collector coins, numismatic products, and investment products consist of gold bars and bullion coins. It is also involved in electronic payments, including operation of city card systems, sale of public transport and railway tickets, prepaid cards, maintenance services, and sale of technical equipment. In addition, the company delivers real estate development projects, and leases office and warehouse spaces. It serves foreign issuers, domestic and foreign distributors of mint products, collectors, investors, and corporations interested in token products; local governments operating public transport, railway companies, and private individuals; and institutional customers and natural persons. Mennica Polska S.A. was founded in 1766 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mennica Polska S.A reported revenue of 1.8B PLN in FY2025 versus 1.3B PLN in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was 498M PLN in FY2025, compounding +54.7%/yr from FY2021.
MNC screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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