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Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, (MSB) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $325M

MT Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, logo Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, MSB · US
Price$23.32
Fair Value$23.35
Upside+0.1%
Quality74/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 75.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.88% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 76/100
Evidence: High Range $17.51 – $41.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $17.97 to $23.35 (+29.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($17.51 to $41.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$40.46 $12.19 Fair Value $23.35 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.19 – $40.46 · fair‑value band $17.51 – $41.25 · the $23.32 price screens below the $23.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, (MSB) currently trades at $23.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.35, implying the stock looks roughly 0.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, generated revenue of $15.0M at a net margin of 75.3%. Revenue declined 52.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 59.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $23.2T. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.51 (bear case) to $41.25 (bull case); at $23.32, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 0%, MSB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $13,634,137 $21,488,702 $33,198,996 80
Residual Income $4.76 $5.77 $25.36 76
ROIC Compounder $1,765,446 $1,765,446 $1,765,447 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13,928,154 $23,156,570 $37,991,625 38
5Y Revenue Exit $6,149,106 $7,068,395 $7,865,568 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6,149,109 $7,068,403 $7,865,581 41
5Y P/E Exit $6,149,113 $7,068,410 $7,865,592 38
10Y Revenue Exit $8,966,997 $10,905,704 $13,183,274 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8,967,000 $10,905,710 $13,183,285 37
10Y P/E Exit $8,967,002 $10,905,715 $13,183,293 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.19 $37.50 $51.88 54
Lynch FV $10.28 $14.68 $19.09 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.28 $14.68 $19.09 46
EPV $1,765,446 $1,765,446 $1,765,447 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $54.15 $97.58 $134.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage $54.15 $89.14 $104.24 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.48 $17.97 $22.46 63
P/S Multiple $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 58
P/B Multiple $3.50 $4.67 $5.83 55
EV/EBIT $1,765,453 $1,765,456 $1,765,460 53
EV/EBITDA $1,765,449 $1,765,452 $1,765,455 54
EV/Revenue $1,765,443 $1,765,443 $1,765,444 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7800 $1.04 $1.56 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13,634,137 $21,488,702 $33,198,996 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.76 $5.77 $25.36 76
ROIC Compounder $1,765,446 $1,765,446 $1,765,447 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.83 $19.76 $25.68 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($21,488,702) versus Asset-Based ($1.04). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $15.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -52.6%
Net margin 75.3%
Return on equity 59.7%
Free cash flow $14.4T FY2026
P/E ratio 28.8
More key figures
Operating margin 48.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.8600
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -70.1%
Net cash $23.2T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, engages in iron ore mining business in the United States. Mesabi Trust was incorporated in 1961 and is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, reported revenue of $17.5M in FY2026 versus $71.5M in FY2022, a compound −29.6%/yr. Reported net income was $13.9M in FY2026, compounding −33.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$17.5M
Latest YoY
−31.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+1.3%
Revenue −29.6%/yr
FY22 $71.5M
FY23 $7.7M
FY24 $22.9M
FY25 $25.5M
FY26 $17.5M
Net income −33.0%/yr
FY22 $68.8M
FY23 $5.3M
FY24 $19.0M
FY25 $93.3M
FY26 $13.9M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSB

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 29% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 75% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 48% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -53% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 15.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 21.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 100 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 78 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, (MSB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.35 versus a price of $23.32, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MSB?
Our model-based fair value for Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, is $23.35 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $23.32.
What is the quality score of MSB?
Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, (MSB)?
Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $15.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MSB?
The net profit margin of Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, is about 75.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 75.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, pay a dividend?
Mesabi Trust, a royalty trust, currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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