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Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mannatech Incorporated stock $3.88, price $8.11, that is 52.2% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US

MI Mannatech Incorporated logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

Mannatech Incorporated

MTEX · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 52% below what the stock costs today.

Generates free cash flow over the last twelve months
Profit last quarter +96% vs. a year ago.
Quality 46/100
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Insiders bought $62,155 (6M)
Fair value $3.88 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.5 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -6.9% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$39.11 $3.95 Fair Value $3.88 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.95 – $39.11 · fair‑value band $2.76 – $5.00 · the $8.11 price screens above the $3.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Mannatech, Incorporated operates as a wellness solution provider. The company develops markets and sells nutritional supplements; skin care and anti-aging products; and weight-management and fitness products.

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It primarily sells its products through network marketing distribution channels and e-commerce model.

The company operates in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Austria, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, the Republic of Ireland, Namibia, the Netherlands, Norway, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Thailand and China, as well as Belgium, France, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, and Poland.

Mannatech, Incorporated was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Flower Mound, Texas.

Stock analysis

Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) currently trades at $8.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.88, 52% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $2.76 (bear) to $5.00 (bull), the price of $8.11 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Mannatech Incorporated reported revenue of $108M in FY2025 versus $160M in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $15.7M Micro · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) $−3.91 · Net margin −6.9% · Return on equity −1,490% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.8% · Revenue (TTM) $107M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −52%, MTEX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.76 Fair Value $3.88 Bull $5.00
Price $8.11 · Downside -52.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA $2.76 $3.88 $5.00 67
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.76 $3.88 $5.00 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 50
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 56
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 40
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 70
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 45
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 68
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $62,155, most recently on May 20, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyLarry A JobeDirector2× since May 19, 2026: 7,803 shares, avg. $4.17$32,548May 20, 2026
  • BuyKevin Andrew RobbinsDirector7,100 shares at $4.17$29,607May 19, 2026

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.0% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.0% (2020) → −0.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MTEX screens overvalued: fair value 52% below the price. Compare with Sysco Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −52.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −50.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −6.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 3.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.96× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)19 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Olam Group VC2 0.8650 SGD 2.47 SGD +186% vs MTEX
Metcash Limited MTS A$3.34 A$5.33 +60% vs MTEX
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €19.33 €21.69 +12% vs MTEX
Sysco Corporation SYY $76.86 $68.94 −10% vs MTEX
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.90 THB 12.98 THB −13% vs MTEX
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $45.30 $29.36 −35% vs MTEX
US Foods Holding USFD $106.67 $60.40 −43% vs MTEX
Performance Food Group PFGC $107.50 $46.96 −56% vs MTEX
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $103.77 $41.87 −60% vs MTEX
Dong Suh Companies Inc 026960 28,200 KRW 10,739 KRW −62% vs MTEX

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Mannatech Incorporated: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mannatech Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTEX

Frequently asked questions

Is Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.88 versus a price of $8.11, about 52% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTEX?
Our model-based fair value for Mannatech Incorporated is $3.88 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.11.
What is the quality score of MTEX?
Mannatech Incorporated has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.88 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.76, optimistic scenario $5.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mannatech Incorporated stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.88, about 52% lower versus a price of $8.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.76, optimistic scenario $5.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Mannatech Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $107M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mannatech Incorporated it is $3.88 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $8.11. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Multiples).
Is Mannatech Incorporated stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, MTEX trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.11, fair value $3.88, a gap of about −52% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTEX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.88). For Mannatech Incorporated the two are $4.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mannatech Incorporated worth?
The market values Mannatech Incorporated at about $15.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $8.11; our models calculate a fair value of $3.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTEX?
Our models span a range for Mannatech Incorporated: cautious scenario $2.76, base $3.88, optimistic $5.00 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $8.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of MTEX?
The PEG ratio of Mannatech Incorporated is 0.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mannatech Incorporated (as of Nov 3, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTEX from its 52-week high?
Mannatech Incorporated trades at $8.11, about 18% below its 52-week high of $9.84 and 105% above the low of $3.95 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mannatech Incorporated?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mannatech Incorporated stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $8.11, calculated fair value $3.88 (−52%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTEX calculated?
We run Mannatech Incorporated through 1 models from 1 family: Multiples. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.88 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Mannatech Incorporated itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $8.11. Our model-based fair value is $3.88, about 52% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mannatech Incorporated right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($2.76 to $5.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Mannatech Incorporated

How large is the market capitalisation of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The market capitalisation of Mannatech Incorporated is $15.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mannatech Incorporated is 0.15 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Earnings per share at Mannatech Incorporated are $−3.91. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The net margin of Mannatech Incorporated is −6.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mannatech Incorporated is −1,490% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mannatech Incorporated is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The operating margin of Mannatech Incorporated is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Revenue at Mannatech Incorporated is growing +3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Earnings per share at Mannatech Incorporated are growing +95.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) generate?
The free cash flow of Mannatech Incorporated is −$4.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) carry?
The net debt of Mannatech Incorporated is $1.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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