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Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Mannatech Incorporated $3.88, price $7.25, upside -46.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN US5637712036

MI Mannatech Incorporated logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Mannatech Incorporated

MTEX · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $3.88 · Strongly overvalued (−46%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.0% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$39.11 $3.95 Fair Value $3.88 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.95 – $39.11 · fair‑value band $2.76 – $5.00 · the $7.25 price screens above the $3.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Mannatech, Incorporated operates as a wellness solution provider. The company develops markets and sells nutritional supplements; skin care and anti-aging products; and weight-management and fitness products. It primarily sells its products through network marketing distribution channels and e-commerce model.

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Mannatech, Incorporated operates as a wellness solution provider. The company develops markets and sells nutritional supplements; skin care and anti-aging products; and weight-management and fitness products. It primarily sells its products through network marketing distribution channels and e-commerce model. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Austria, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, the Republic of Ireland, Namibia, the Netherlands, Norway, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Thailand and China, as well as Belgium, France, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, and Poland. Mannatech, Incorporated was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Flower Mound, Texas.

Stock analysis

Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) currently trades at $7.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.88, implying the stock looks roughly 86.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $2.76 (bear) to $5.00 (bull), the price of $7.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Mannatech Incorporated reported revenue of $108M in FY2025 versus $160M in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $13.8M · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) $−6.72 · Net margin −14.1% · Return on equity −1,254% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin −0.7% · Revenue (TTM) $106M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −46%, MTEX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.76 Fair Value $3.88 Bull $5.00
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $5.15 $6.27 $7.39 67
All 1 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $5.15 $6.27 $7.39 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.0% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.0% (2020) → −0.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MTEX screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.96× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY $77.14 $67.71 −12%
US Foods Holding USFD $94.20 $59.37 −37%
Performance Food Group PFGC $92.19 $45.15 −51%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €18.30 €21.59 +18%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.50 THB 12.98 THB −10%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $108.36 $41.89 −61%
Olam Group VC2 0.9750 SGD 2.47 SGD +153%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $45.86 $63.12 +38%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $66.94 $32.32 −52%
Metcash Limited MTS A$2.84 A$5.33 +88%

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Mannatech Incorporated · Fair Value
$3.88 −87%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mannatech Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTEX

Frequently asked questions

Is Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.88 versus a price of $7.25, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTEX?
Our model-based fair value for Mannatech Incorporated is $3.88 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.25.
What is the quality score of MTEX?
Mannatech Incorporated has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.88 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.76, optimistic scenario $5.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mannatech Incorporated stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.88, about −46% upside versus a price of $7.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.76, optimistic scenario $5.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Mannatech Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $106M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mannatech Incorporated it is $3.88 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $7.25. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mannatech Incorporated stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MTEX trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.25, fair value $3.88, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTEX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.88). For Mannatech Incorporated the two are $3.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mannatech Incorporated worth?
The market values Mannatech Incorporated at about $13.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $7.25; our models calculate a fair value of $3.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTEX?
Our models span a range for Mannatech Incorporated: cautious scenario $2.76, base $3.88, optimistic $5.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $7.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of MTEX?
The PEG ratio of Mannatech Incorporated is 0.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mannatech Incorporated (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTEX from its 52-week high?
Mannatech Incorporated trades at $7.25, about 29% below its 52-week high of $10.19 and 84% above the low of $3.95 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mannatech Incorporated?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mannatech Incorporated stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $7.25, calculated fair value $3.88 (−46%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTEX calculated?
We run Mannatech Incorporated through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Mannatech Incorporated itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $7.25. Our model-based fair value is $3.88, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mannatech Incorporated right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($2.76 to $5.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Mannatech Incorporated

How large is the market capitalisation of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The market capitalisation of Mannatech Incorporated is $13.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mannatech Incorporated is 0.10 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Earnings per share at Mannatech Incorporated are $−6.72. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The net margin of Mannatech Incorporated is −14.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mannatech Incorporated is −1,254% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mannatech Incorporated is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
The operating margin of Mannatech Incorporated is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Revenue at Mannatech Incorporated is growing −6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX)?
Earnings per share at Mannatech Incorporated are growing +95.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) generate?
The free cash flow of Mannatech Incorporated is −$4.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mannatech Incorporated (MTEX) carry?
The net debt of Mannatech Incorporated is $1.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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