Mannatech, Incorporated (MTEX) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $10.5M
Mannatech, Incorporated
MTEX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −8.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.76 to $5.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.95 – $39.11 · fair‑value band $2.76 – $5.00 · the $4.79 price screens above the $3.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Mannatech, Incorporated (MTEX) currently trades at $4.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.88, implying the stock looks roughly 19.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mannatech, Incorporated generated revenue of $106M at a net margin of -12.0%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.76 (bear case) to $5.00 (bull case); at $4.79, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -19%, MTEX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mannatech, Incorporated operates as a wellness solution provider. The company develops markets and sells nutritional supplements; skin care and anti-aging products; and weight-management and fitness products. It primarily sells its products through network marketing distribution channels and e-commerce model.
Full company description
Mannatech, Incorporated operates as a wellness solution provider. The company develops markets and sells nutritional supplements; skin care and anti-aging products; and weight-management and fitness products. It primarily sells its products through network marketing distribution channels and e-commerce model. The company operates in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Austria, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Germany, the Republic of Ireland, Namibia, the Netherlands, Norway, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, Australia, Japan, New Zealand, the Republic of Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Thailand and China, as well as Belgium, France, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, and Poland. Mannatech, Incorporated was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Flower Mound, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mannatech, Incorporated reported revenue of $108M in FY2025 versus $160M in FY2021, a compound −9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.2M in FY2025.
MTEX screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.90 THB | 17.04 THB | +14% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $79.24 | $47.78 | -40% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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